Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Resolved1as of
This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado said she presented her Nobel Peace Prize medal to US President Donald Trump, but did not answer questions about whether he accepted it
BREAKING: Machado says she presented Nobel peace prize to President Trump.
BREAKING: Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado says she has presented Trump with her Nobel Peace Prize
BREAKING: Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado says she presented Trump her Nobel Peace Prize to recognize his commitment to her country.
Venezuelan Nobel Peace Prize winner María Corina Machado says she presented US President Donald Trump with her medal
Machado: I presented the President of the United States the medal, the Nobel peace prize
Machado presented Trump with her Nobel award at White House meeting
*MACHADO SAYS SHE PRESENTED NOBEL PEACE PRIZE TO TRUMP: FOX NEWS
VENEZUELAN OPPOSITION LEADER MACHADO: PRESENTED TRUMP WITH NOBEL PEACE MEDAL
She's offered Trump her Nobel Prize. But what might Venezuela's Machado ask for in return?
Hannity: Do you have any plans to meet with Machado and would you accept the Nobel prize she wants to hand to you? Trump: I understand she's coming in the next week sometime….that would be a great honor.
Machado offered to share her Nobel Peace Prize with Trump if she could run Venezuela. Maduro’s VP offered to give Trump 30 million barrels of oil if their regime could remain in power. Trump took the oil.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) Public statements from both Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado announcing that they are sharing the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize or that the Nobel prize has been transferred to Trump.
This does not require official confirmation from the Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Only statements from both Machado and Trump which demonstrate that they are currently sharing, will share, or have decided to share the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will count. Statements that merely express a desire to share the prize or otherwise endorse the idea of sharing, without clearly demonstrating an agreement to share or an active sharing of the prize, will not count.
2) A consensus of credible reporting or statements from both Machado and Trump confirm that the physical 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal has been transferred to Trump for permanent ownership or joint ownership with Machado.
3) The Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee officially recognize Donald Trump as a co-recipient of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado, official information from the Nobel Peace Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee (https://www.nobelprize.org/), and a consensus of credible reporting.