Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? the favorite at 21%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?21%

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOCoin X99%match58¢+36%
Aave V4's security-first growth strategy continues, with supply and borrow caps raised across several assets to accommodate deposit inflows.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized AAVE TVL datapoint has a value lower than the TVL specified in the title on any day between the date of this market's creation and December 31. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the Aave page available at https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/, with TVL displayed in USD on the daily chart. The TVL value used for resolution will be the “TVL” value displayed for each daily bar. A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.

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