When will Talarico and Paxton debate live?
Open2as of
Market pricing makes October 31 the favorite at 26% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
October 3126%
What moved the odds?
No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present.
Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify.
A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.