Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
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Iran announces sweeping changes to the Strait of Hormuz: the northern and southern passages will remain closed. All maritime traffic will be concentrated in the central passage after a deadline. Tehran will impose tariffs on ships in this key energy corridor. #Iran #Hormuz #teleSUR
A US official stated that any temporary passages in the Strait of Hormuz would be free of any obstacles, meaning no approvals or permits would be required, and no transit fees or other charges would be imposed.
A Deal To Reopen The Strait Of Hormuz Appears To Be Close; But Iranian Media Says It Excludes U.S. And Israeli Ships. • The deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz would exclude American and Israeli ships from transiting, according to Iran's state outlet Fars.
Ships will enter through Iranian waters and exit through Omani waters, and mines will be cleared from the central shipping lane in preparation for its reopening. Details of the draft agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz under temporary arrangements:
Axios, citing sources: The agreement stipulates that no fees will be imposed for crossing the Strait of Hormuz for a period of 60 days.
Aramco CEO's Fear of 100 Million Barrels of Oil from the Strait of Hormuz Remaining Closed The CEO of the Saudi National Oil Company (Aramco) today warned about the future of the energy market: If the Strait of Hormuz continues to be blocked, the global market will lose 100 million barrels of oil every week. Amin Nasser said: If this trend continues, it will take at least 18 months to replenish global reserves. According to a Reuters report, about one billion barrels of oil have been removed from the global supply chain in the past two months due to the blockade of this strategic passageway.
@Farsna - Link
Aramco’s Nasser Says Beyond Refining, Current Trade Flows Through the Strait of Hormuz Are at a Tenth of Pre-Conflict Levels and the World Will Continue to Lose More Than 100 Million Barrels for Each Week the Strait is Closed
Kepler: Strait of Hormuz recorded only 29 confirmed crossings between July 24-26 At the same time, Bab al-Mandab saw 100 confirmed crossings and mostly stable daily activity. @YjcNewsChannel
Cargo ships are anchored near the Strait of Hormuz as regional tensions rise. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said on Saturday that its forces had prevented four ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours.
FWD from SNN International: Xue Jin: Iran has blocked shipping through the Strait of Hormuz without declaring a formal blockade Jiang Xue Jin, international affairs expert: The question is: Can Iran create the economic effect of a blockade while leaving enough ambiguity for any actor to argue that there is no blockade? The official US story is that there are ongoing attacks on Iranian military capabilities and CENTCOM describes a campaign to weaken Iran’s ability to threaten commercial shipping, but traffic data suggests that the slowdown in shipping may be a central strategic consequence. Three ships a day is a signal about risk tolerance; A shipowner asks not only whether a ship can pass, but also whether the cargo is insured, whether the crew is protected, whether the charterer accepts the route, whether a missile alert will close the port and whether the delay will erode the profit margin. This means that a route can remain open on the map, but disappear from the trading system and be considered useless. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snninternational
Shipping data: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has stabilized at 3 ships per day over the past three days.
Reuters, citing shipping data: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has stabilized at 3 ships per day over the past three days.
Reuters, citing shipping data: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has stabilized at 3 ships per day over the past three days.
Reuters reported that the number of oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz fell to one on July 23, the lowest level since May 7, according to Kepler data. According to the report, only one tanker passed through the Strait of Hormuz on that day, and no ships entered the waterway. At the same time, oil prices also rose to $100 per barrel once again. Reuters also reported that Saudi Aramco has begun shipping additional crude oil from Egypt's Sidi Karir port to circumvent transportation restrictions.
CENTCOM: Commercial ships continue to transit the Strait of Hormuz with the support of U.S. military forces. Since early May, U.S. forces have assisted more than 900 ships through the strait.
CLAIM: Today, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy claimed that it controls exit and entry to the Strait of Hormuz, suggesting that international mariners can only use routes the IRGC prefers. This is FALSE. • • FACT: Iran does not control the Strait of Hormuz. The international waterway remains open for transit regardless of IRGC threats and attacks. Commercial vessels continue to use the strait with U.S. military support. Since early May, American forces have helped more than 900 ships transit the strait.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
Based on the warning issued last night, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and if any vessel is able to cross this strait, it must do so only via the designated route and in accordance with the procedures announced in advance.
A Radio and Television journalist said on Wednesday evening that the Strait of Hormuz is still under the "control" of the Islamic Republic and is closed, adding that no ship or vessel from anywhere in the world and with any cargo is "permitted" to pass through the strait. The Radio and Television journalist said that the US targeted Sirik and Lark Island on Wednesday, adding that residents of these two areas heard two or three explosions.
A Radio and Television journalist said on Wednesday evening that the Strait of Hormuz is still under the "control" of the Islamic Republic and is closed, adding that no ship or vessel from anywhere in the world and with any cargo is "permitted" to pass through the strait. The Radio and Television journalist said that the US targeted Sirik and Lark Island on Wednesday, adding that residents of these two areas heard two or three explosions.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the final date of the specified timeframe has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is first released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.