When will Netanyahu be pardoned?

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 14% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .

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December 31News92%match7¢+100%
Senior political source: Trump spoke with Netanyahu about the pardon.
June 30News99%match90¢+11%
] Herzog-Bardugo meeting: The quotes are revealed | Herzog to Bardugo: What Netanyahu passed is not a pardon - it has no chance of passing
June 30jerusalem_post99%match12¢-100%
Report: US President Donald Trump said that President Isaac Herzog would become a "national hero" if he granted Prime Minister Netanyahu the presidential pardon. • @Tobiholc •
June 30clashreport99%match11¢-100%
Trump on Israeli President Herzog: • • He will be a national hero if he gives Bibi a pardon. • • He has a trial in the middle of a war? Give me a break. • • Source: Axios
June 30Axios Reporter99%match11¢-100%
Trump claims Netanyahu pardon would make Israeli president Herzog "national hero". Read my interview with Trump on @axios •
June 30Axios Reporter99%match89¢+12%
President Trump has renewed his pressure campaign on President Yitzhak Herzog to grant a pardon to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but this time in a much less aggressive style. Trump told me in an interview that Herzog “could become a national hero” if he granted a pardon to Netanyahu. Why is this important: Trump said Netanyahu brought up his corruption trial when the two spoke Tuesday night and told him he would return to testify in court on Wednesday, instead of focusing on Iran. “In the middle of a war? Do me a favor,” Trump said. What does he say: Trump was the one who raised the issue of amnesty during the interview, which lasted about fifteen minutes and also dealt with Iran and Lebanon. But after repeatedly attacking Herzog for several months, this time he took a softer approach. “I like the guy, Herzog,” Trump said. “He would be a national hero if he gave Bibi a pardon. I would really appreciate it.” He said that Netanyahu's trial makes Israel "look bad" and described the charges against Netanyahu as "wine and cigars" (among the charges, which Netanyahu denies, are allegations that he received gifts in exchange for helping businessmen). "Bibi is a prime minister in a time of war. He can't have this thing hanging over his head," Trump said. The big picture: Trump has been pushing for a pardon for Netanyahu since last June, claiming that his trial on corruption charges — which has been ongoing since 2020 — is a “witch hunt” similar to the American president’s own legal problems. Granting a pardon to Netanyahu may make Herzog a "hero" in the eyes of some of the Israeli public, but will anger many others. Israelis will go to the polls in October. If Netanyahu loses, the chances of him ending up in prison will increase significantly. In the news center: Earlier this week, Herzog invited Netanyahu's lawyers, the legal advisor to the government, and the state attorney to meet under his auspices and begin negotiations on a settlement in Netanyahu's case. Herzog said he would not make a decision regarding the pardon until the possibility of negotiating a plea agreement has been exhausted. Trump said in an interview that in his opinion Netanyahu "cannot accept" a deal and needs a full pardon. between the lines: Netanyahu refused to admit any wrongdoing or express remorse - two key conditions for receiving a pardon under Israeli law. The chances of a settlement also seem low because it would likely require him to plead guilty to potentially disgraceful offenses, which would prevent him from holding public office for a certain period of time. Netanyahu is not expected to agree to an arrangement that would force him to leave politics, and the prosecution currently does not seem willing to settle for lighter charges. Why for the sake of heart: In a conversation with me in March, Trump called Herzog “a disgrace” for not granting a pardon to Netanyahu. In another interview, he called him “weak and pathetic.” It is unclear what prompted Trump to change his tone toward Herzog. One senior Israeli official speculated that Trump realized that his attacks were not having an effect on Herzog, or that Netanyahu may have suggested the change in tone.
June 30N12 Reporter99%match89¢+12%
It is clear that President Herzog is in no hurry to decide on the issue of pardon. Whether it's because of the elections or because he fears a confrontation with Trump. The parties are coming to the event with low expectations, considering the fact that until today Netanyahu was not willing to hear about the minimum that would be involved in the event of an arrangement - retirement from political life. [in reply to: The President's Office updates - Following our announcement from Sunday, Legal Advisor to the President of the State, Attorney Michal Tzuk, contacted the parties in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cases this evening (Tuesday), and invited them to hold contacts between the parties in order to reach agreements. *This procedure is intended to examine the possibility of advancing understandings and agreements, and is only a preliminary stage before the President holds a hearing on the pardon application itself.* The parties were asked to arrive as soon as possible, willingly and with good and proper intent. It was clarified to the parties that responding to the invitation does not constitute consent or approval on their behalf for any matter in dispute between them in court.]
June 30n12news99%match11¢-100%
Netanyahu's pardon request | Legal advisor to the President of the State, Attorney Michal Tzuk, contacted the parties in the Prime Minister's cases this evening - and invited them to hold contacts between the parties in order to reach agreements. "This procedure is intended to examine the possibility of advancing understandings and agreements, and is only a preliminary stage before the president holds a hearing on the pardon request itself. The parties were asked to arrive as soon as possible, willingly and with good and proper intentions," the legal advisor's statement read.
June 30Channel 12 (N12)99%match11¢-100%
Shoshi Hatuka Netanyahu's pardon request | Legal advisor to the President of the State, Attorney Michal Tzuk, addressed the parties in the Prime Minister's cases this evening - and invited them to hold contacts between the parties in order to reach agreements. "This procedure is intended to examine the possibility of promoting understandings and agreements, and is only a preliminary stage before the President holds a hearing on the pardon request itself. The parties were asked to arrive as soon as possible, with a willing heart and with good and proper intentions," the legal advisor's statement read.
June 30J.Post / i24 Reporter99%match11¢-100%
*For your information:* Following our announcement from Sunday, Legal Advisor to the President of the State, Attorney Michal Tzuk, contacted the parties in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cases this evening (Tuesday), and invited them to hold contacts between the parties in order to reach agreements. *This procedure is intended to examine the possibility of advancing understandings and agreements, and is only a preliminary stage before the President holds a hearing on the pardon application itself.* The parties were asked to arrive as soon as possible, willingly and with good and proper intent. It was clarified to the parties that responding to the invitation does not constitute consent or approval on their behalf for any matter in dispute between them in court.
June 30N12 Reporter99%match11¢-100%
The President's Office updates - Following our announcement from Sunday, Legal Advisor to the President of the State, Attorney Michal Tzuk, contacted the parties in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cases this evening (Tuesday), and invited them to hold contacts between the parties in order to reach agreements. *This procedure is intended to examine the possibility of advancing understandings and agreements, and is only a preliminary stage before the President holds a hearing on the pardon application itself.* The parties were asked to arrive as soon as possible, willingly and with good and proper intent. It was clarified to the parties that responding to the invitation does not constitute consent or approval on their behalf for any matter in dispute between them in court.
June 30N12/GLZ Reporters99%match11¢-100%
*For your information:* Following our announcement from Sunday, Legal Advisor to the President of the State, Attorney Michal Tzuk, contacted the parties in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cases this evening (Tuesday), and invited them to hold contacts between the parties in order to reach agreements. *This procedure is intended to examine the possibility of advancing understandings and agreements, and is only a preliminary stage before the President holds a hearing on the pardon application itself.* The parties were asked to arrive as soon as possible, willingly and with good and proper intent. It was clarified to the parties that responding to the invitation does not constitute consent or approval on their behalf for any matter in dispute between them in court. *The letter is attached.*
June 30Kan Reporter99%match11¢-100%
The President's House:* Following our announcement from Sunday, Legal Advisor to the President of the State, Attorney Michal Tzuk, contacted the parties in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cases this evening (Tuesday), and invited them to hold contacts between the parties in order to reach agreements. *This procedure is intended to examine the possibility of advancing understandings and agreements, and is only a preliminary stage before the President holds a hearing on the pardon application itself.* The parties were asked to arrive as soon as possible, willingly and with good and proper intent. It was clarified to the parties that responding to the invitation does not constitute consent or approval on their behalf for any matter in dispute between them in court. *The letter is attached.*
June 30N12 Reporter99%match11¢-100%
*For your information:* Following our announcement from Sunday, Legal Advisor to the President of the State, Attorney Michal Tzuk, contacted the parties in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cases this evening (Tuesday), and invited them to hold contacts between the parties in order to reach agreements. *This procedure is intended to examine the possibility of advancing understandings and agreements, and is only a preliminary stage before the President holds a hearing on the pardon application itself.* The parties were asked to arrive as soon as possible, willingly and with good and proper intent. It was clarified to the parties that responding to the invitation does not constitute consent or approval on their behalf for any matter in dispute between them in court. *The letter is attached.*
June 30Russian Media99%match84¢+19%
The latest hearing on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bribery charges is taking place today. Journalist Nikita Kulyukhin showed court footage to Izvestia. He recalled that several corruption investigations are underway against the Israeli prime minister. According to Case 1000, Netanyahu is accused of repeatedly receiving expensive gifts: cigars, cases of champagne, and even a large stuffed rabbit named Buxus Bani. The main donor was Arnon Milchan, the producer of the film "Pretty Woman." In Case 2000, the prime minister is accused of promoting the interests of the owner of the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper in return for favorable coverage of his government's activities. The most high-profile case was "4000." According to investigators, Netanyahu lobbied for the interests of the Bezeq telecommunications group in exchange for positive coverage of his cabinet's activities on the online news site Walla. In December 2024, hearings began in the Tel Aviv District Court in several criminal cases against Netanyahu. In late June 2025, the court rejected Netanyahu's request to be excused from testifying in the corruption case. The trial itself was repeatedly postponed due to the prime minister's official commitments, and later due to the threat of attacks from Iran, Kulyukhin noted. On November 30, 2025, Netanyahu sent a letter to President Isaac Herzog requesting a pardon, which was rejected. According to The New York Times, the Israeli leader plans to instead seek a confession from the prime minister. More IZ RU news in MAX
June 30skynewsarabia99%match87¢+15%
Report: Herzog rejects Netanyahu's pardon and prefers a plea bargain #SkyOnline
The Israeli president is reportedly not pardoning Netanyahu and is seeking to broker a plea agreement.
June 30alarabytv99%match88¢+14%
New York Times: Herzog postpones Netanyahu's pardon request, preferring to push for mediation to reach a plea bargain
Israeli President Isaac Herzog announced his decision not to process Benjamin Netanyahu's pardon request until mediation efforts with the Public Prosecutor's Office are complete. Find more information at:
Israeli President Rejects Netanyahu's Pardon Request Israeli President Isaac Herzog announced in a statement, referring to the current circumstances, that he is temporarily rejecting Benjamin Netanyahu's request for a pardon. He also demanded that Netanyahu reach a legal settlement regarding his cases with the Israeli Supreme Court. @TasnimNews
June 30Sky News Arabia99%match88¢+14%
"Dab A": Israeli president postpones consideration of Netanyahu's pardon request in his corruption trial
June 30iranintlbrk99%match88¢+14%
Israeli President Confirms He Will Postpone Ruling on Netanyahu's Pardon Request
June 30mayadeenenglish99%match88¢+14%
"Israel’s" President Isaac Herzog has decided not to approve Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s request for a pardon in his long-running corruption case at this stage, instead opting to pursue mediation toward a possible plea deal, according to The New York Times. • • The report, citing two senior Israeli officials with direct knowledge, said Herzog views the situation as too politically sensitive for a simple yes-or-no decision and prefers a negotiated outcome aimed at easing internal divisions. • • His decision comes as the case continues to polarize Israeli politics and as US President Donald Trump has increased pressure in support of Netanyahu. • • Herzog’s office said, "President Isaac Herzog has stated on several occasions that he regards reaching an amicable solution between the parties as an important public interest." • • "As for the decision on the pardon request, the president will act solely in accordance with Israeli law, guided by his conscience, and in the best interests of the state of Israel," the statement further read.
June 30dbws.io99%match88¢+14%
Israel’s president says he wants a deal reached in Netanyahu case before pardon decision
June 30clashreport99%match88¢+14%
Israeli President Herzog has decided not to grant a pardon to Netanyahu for now. • • Instead, he wants to try mediating a plea deal to resolve Netanyahu’s long-running corruption trial. • • Source: NYT
New York Times: Herzog has no intention of granting pardon to Netanyahu The New York Times reported that Israeli President Isaac Herzog does not intend to grant amnesty to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in corruption cases. The newspaper revealed that Herzog will instead try to strengthen the path to a "plea agreement" to end the cases through the judicial process.
June 30aljadeednews99%match86¢+16%
New York Times: Israeli President Isaac Herzog does not intend to pardon Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu but will seek a plea bargain at this stage.
June 30Iranian Media99%match86¢+16%
New York Times: Herzog has no intention of granting pardon to Netanyahu The New York Times reported that Israeli President Isaac Herzog does not intend to grant amnesty to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in corruption cases. According to Al-Arabi Al-Jadeed, the newspaper also revealed that Herzog will instead try to strengthen the path to reaching a "plea agreement" so that these cases can be concluded through the judicial process. isna.ir/xdWhS8 @isna94
June 30jerusalem_post99%match86¢+16%
Report: President Isaac Herzog does not plan to pardon Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the near future, according to a report by the New York Times on Sunday. • Reporting by: @sarahbennun •
June 30Independant Reporter99%match86¢+16%
Herzog confirms the report, saying he wants to reach a deal before a decision on the pardon plea

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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