When will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported?

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This hub tracks 3 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

December 31100%
August 31100%
September 15100%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

December 31theverge.com97%match100¢
Alt-right troll Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported
August 31theverge.com94%match99¢+1%
Alt-right troll Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported
September 15theverge.com97%match100¢
Alt-right troll Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported
December 31foxnews.com97%match100¢
Milo Yiannopoulos deported after ICE arrest and detention at major Louisiana removal hub
August 31foxnews.com93%match99¢+1%
Milo Yiannopoulos deported after ICE arrest and detention at major Louisiana removal hub
September 15foxnews.com96%match100¢
Milo Yiannopoulos deported after ICE arrest and detention at major Louisiana removal hub
December 31nytimes.com96%match100¢
Milo Yiannopoulos, Right-Wing Agitator, Deported Home to U.K.
August 31nytimes.com92%match99¢+1%
Milo Yiannopoulos, Right-Wing Agitator, Deported Home to U.K.
September 15nytimes.com96%match100¢
Milo Yiannopoulos, Right-Wing Agitator, Deported Home to U.K.
December 31Far-right political figure Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported to the United Kingdom after his detention in Louisiana earlier this week, according to the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) custody apprehended the British native on Thursday evening at the Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport (MSY) in Kenner, La., after DHS…97%match100¢
DHS confirms Milo Yiannopoulos was deported to UK
August 31Far-right political figure Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported to the United Kingdom after his detention in Louisiana earlier this week, according to the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) custody apprehended the British native on Thursday evening at the Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport (MSY) in Kenner, La., after DHS…92%match99¢+1%
DHS confirms Milo Yiannopoulos was deported to UK
September 15Far-right political figure Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported to the United Kingdom after his detention in Louisiana earlier this week, according to the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) custody apprehended the British native on Thursday evening at the Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport (MSY) in Kenner, La., after DHS…96%match100¢
DHS confirms Milo Yiannopoulos was deported to UK
December 31MS NOW Reporter98%match100¢
BREAKING: Far-right commentator Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported to the United Kingdom, according to a Department of Homeland Security spokesperson.
August 31MS NOW Reporter97%match99¢+1%
BREAKING: Far-right commentator Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported to the United Kingdom, according to a Department of Homeland Security spokesperson.
September 15MS NOW Reporter98%match100¢
BREAKING: Far-right commentator Milo Yiannopoulos has been deported to the United Kingdom, according to a Department of Homeland Security spokesperson.
December 31ms.now96%match100¢
Far-right provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos deported to U.K., DHS says
August 31ms.now92%match99¢+1%
Far-right provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos deported to U.K., DHS says
September 15ms.now96%match100¢
Far-right provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos deported to U.K., DHS says
December 31notus.org94%match100¢
DHS Deports Far-Right Provocateur Milo Yiannapoulos
September 15notus.org93%match100¢
DHS Deports Far-Right Provocateur Milo Yiannapoulos
December 31dbws.io97%match100¢
Far-right commentator Milo Yiannopoulos deported to UK
August 31dbws.io94%match100¢
Far-right commentator Milo Yiannopoulos deported to UK
September 15dbws.io97%match100¢
Far-right commentator Milo Yiannopoulos deported to UK
December 31ABC Reporter97%match99¢+1%
Far-right provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos was deported yesterday by ICE, and is back in the UK, according to DHS.
August 31ABC Reporter93%match98¢+2%
Far-right provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos was deported yesterday by ICE, and is back in the UK, according to DHS.
September 15ABC Reporter97%match98¢+2%
Far-right provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos was deported yesterday by ICE, and is back in the UK, according to DHS.
December 31cbsnews.com97%match99¢+1%
Milo Yiannopoulos deported after U.S. immigration arrest, officials say
August 31cbsnews.com95%match98¢+2%
Milo Yiannopoulos deported after U.S. immigration arrest, officials say
September 15cbsnews.com97%match98¢+2%
Milo Yiannopoulos deported after U.S. immigration arrest, officials say
December 31nbcnews.com97%match99¢+1%
Milo Yiannopoulos deported to the U.K. one day after ICE arrest

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Milo Yiannopoulos is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Yiannopoulos from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

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