Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 30% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
OCEAN made BIP-110 signaling the default on its existing endpoint. The BIP-110 guide directs node operators to Bitcoin Knots and miners to DATUM. Whatever the intent, BIP-110 functions as a vertically integrated marketing campaign for Knots and OCEAN/DATUM.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart.
Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes.
A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.