When will Israel annex any territory?
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 8% across 3 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Israel could annex Palestinian land to carry out ‘archaeological digs’
Israel could annex Palestinian land to carry out ‘archaeological digs’
Israel's move to annex the West Bank is met with silence from the Arab world Exclusive report by Tasnim correspondent in Ramallah The Oslo Accords in 1993 between Yasser Arafat and Yitzhak Rabin, which divided the West Bank into three areas, "A", "B", and "C", claimed to be a practical step towards recognizing an independent Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital. However, these days, everyone is talking about the danger of annexing the West Bank and seizing the remaining lands under the control of the PA by the occupying regime. Alaa Al-Rimawi, an expert on the Zionist regime, considers the goal of Israel's complete control over the geography of the West Bank to be a blow to the financial resources of the Palestinian resistance by destroying the agricultural sector and depriving Palestinians of land ownership, preventing construction, and expanding their population in this area. Ramzi Rabah, a member of the political bureau of the Palestine Liberation Movement, says in a critical tone: "Is it acceptable that up to this point the Arab League has not called for a meeting, even at the level of foreign ministers? The Security Council has not held a meeting yet? This is while urgent measures are needed from everyone to contain Israel." tasnimnews.ir/3588386 @TasnimNews
Israel appoints settler who backs annexation to head powerful land authority
Israel appoints settler who backs annexation to head powerful land authority
Recent US and Israeli comments on ‘Greater Israel’ trigger regional concerns over sovereignty and territorial expansion
[Replying to @BRICSinfo] @BRICSinfo 16% chance Israel annexes West Bank territory this year. >
[Replying to @sentdefender] @sentdefender 11% chance Israel annexes any territory before July. >
Palestinians in the occupied West Bank are at risk of losing land and homes to Israel's government, after authorities approved a proposal to register land as state property, which experts say is a flagrant breach of international law.
'Israel always had a plan to annex more land in the occupied West Bank, and its actions prove it. This week, the Israeli cabinet approved a plan to claim Palestinian lands in the West Bank as “state land.”' — #AJOpinion by @MariamBarghouti
Israel’s plans to claim parts of the occupied West Bank as ‘state property’ are raising concerns in neighbouring Jordan, as strategists warn the move could be the final prelude to the ‘alternative homeland’ scenario. Al Jazeera’s Julide Ayger explains.
srael’s plans to claim parts of the occupied West Bank as ‘state property’ are raising concerns in neighbouring Jordan, as strategists warn the move could be the final prelude to the ‘alternative homeland’ scenario. Al Jazeera’s Julide Ayger explains.
Israel's moves to tighten its grip on the occupied West Bank have drawn sharp international condemnation, with Palestinian UN Ambassador Riyad Mansour joined by more than 80 member states in denouncing what Palestinians are calling a "de-facto annexation." The measures, approved…
Israel has approved land registration in the occupied West Bank’s Area C, under full Israeli control — a move that could enable authorities to seize land from Palestinians unable to prove ownership
ISRAELI DEFENSE MINISTER: THE DECISION ALLOWS THE REGISTRATION OF LARGE AREAS OF WEST BANK LAND AS PROPERTY OF THE STATE OF ISRAEL.
ISRAELI FINANCE MINISTER SMOTRICH: THE DECISION TO REGISTER LANDS IN THE WEST BANK PREVENTS UNILATERAL STEPS AND WE WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR OUR LAND.
AL-SHIBANI: OUR FIRST AND LAST CONDITION IS THAT ISRAEL WITHDRAWS FROM THE TERRITORIES IT OCCUPIED AFTER DECEMBER 8, 2024.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.