When will Iran target Kuwait?
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Kuwait condemns the repeated Iranian attacks on its territory and affirms that they constitute a direct threat to its security and the safety of its citizens and residents.
Statement issued by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Wednesday, September 2, 2026 The Ministry of Foreign Affairs expresses the State of Kuwait’s strong condemnation and denunciation of the heinous Iranian attacks using missiles and hostile drones, which targeted a number of sites in the country at dawn today, including a residential complex, in flagrant violation of its sovereignty and a threat to its security and stability. The Ministry affirms that the continuation of these attacks constitutes a grave breach of the provisions of international law and the Charter of the United Nations, a clear violation of Security Council Resolution 2817, and a dangerous escalation that threatens the security and stability of the region and undermines diplomatic efforts aimed at de-escalation and reduction. The Ministry reiterates the State of Kuwait’s full right to take all necessary measures to preserve its sovereignty, protect its security and interests, and ensure the safety of its people and residents on its territory, in accordance with the provisions of international law.
Statement issued by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Wednesday, September 2, 2026 The Ministry of Foreign Affairs expresses the State of Kuwait’s strong condemnation and denunciation of the heinous Iranian attacks using missiles and hostile drones, which targeted a number of sites in the country at dawn today, including a residential complex, in flagrant violation of its sovereignty and a threat to its security and stability. The Ministry affirms that the continuation of these attacks constitutes a grave breach of the provisions of international law and the Charter of the United Nations, a clear violation of Security Council Resolution 2817, and a dangerous escalation that threatens the security and stability of the region and undermines diplomatic efforts aimed at de-escalation and reduction. The Ministry reiterates the State of Kuwait’s full right to take all necessary measures to preserve its sovereignty, protect its security and interests, and ensure the safety of its people and residents on its territory, in accordance with the provisions of international law.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Kuwait through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Kuwait. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.
A military action will be considered directed at Kuwait if it is directed at the terrestrial territory of Kuwait, including any internal waters.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Iran and Kuwait and a consensus of credible reporting.