When will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US?
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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 52% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
| Colombian President Gustavo Petro announced he will sue his Ecuadorian counterpart, Daniel Noboa, for defamation. The Colombian president's actions come after Noboa's statements alleging that Petro has ties to the drug trafficker known as "Fito." #HernánTobar Read more at:
Petro nega ter sido notificado de investigação dos EUA contra ele
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.