When will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run?
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 11% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
California Governor Makes His Stance on 2028: He Won't Run Against Harris if She Decides to Run for President ======== California Governor Gavin Newsom confirmed that he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris decides to run. Newsom's stance came during an interview with CNN, where he considered competing with Harris for the Democratic nomination a waste of time. Newsom had previously hinted at the possibility of running for president, but said he was not ready for the 2024 election and was evaluating his position regarding 2028. Kamala Harris said she is considering running in the 2028 election, but has not yet officially confirmed her entry into the race. Newsom's statements reshape the landscape of the Democratic Party's competition for the 2028 nomination.
California Governor, whose support base "overlaps" with Harris's, says he will not run for president if she runs in 2028.
California governor will sit out of 2028 presidential race if former VP Harris runs
California Governor Decides Not to Run If Harris Runs in Next US Presidential Election
US Democrat Newsom: "If Harris Runs, I Won't Run in 2028"
Live: Gavin Newsom tells CNN he won't run in 2028 if Kamala Harris does because 'the zen diagram on that is just pure crossover'
US election 2028: Democrat Newsom would give priority to Harris
Live: Newsom says he wouldn’t run for president if Harris does
Gavin Newsom Says He Won’t Run in 2028 if Kamala Harris Does
Gavin Newsom drops biggest hint yet he’s going to run for president
Just 30% of poll respondents have a favorable view of Newsom, while his unfavorable share is at 42%. • •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.