Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
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Market pricing makes ↓ 1.10 the favorite at 46% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Will the euro continue to weaken? In the coming year, the euro will likely reach parity with the dollar (the level of $1.05 in the most pessimistic forecast), according to experts surveyed by Vedomosti. This is due to the dynamics of debt markets in Europe and expectations of higher rates in the US. Investors remain concerned about the situation in some segments of the European government bond market. In late September and early October, there was a renewed sell-off and falling prices. The high debt burden of key eurozone countries, such as France, Italy, and Belgium, is seen as a particular vulnerability in the face of rising borrowing costs. The euro is being sold not so much because of a decline in business activity, but because of a "premium for fiscal and political risk," explains Alexander Firanchuk, leading researcher at the Foreign Trade Research Laboratory at RANEPA. According to him, the EU economy is currently being influenced by external factors – oil at around $100 per barrel amid the war in the Middle East and the yield on US 10-year bonds above 5%, which is effectively pulling capital into the dollar. More forecasts are available in the material on our website.
Will the euro continue to weaken? In the coming year, the euro will likely reach parity with the dollar (the level of $1.05 in the most pessimistic forecast), according to experts surveyed by Vedomosti. This is due to the dynamics of debt markets in Europe and expectations of higher rates in the US. Investors remain concerned about the situation in some segments of the European government bond market. In late September and early October, there was a renewed sell-off and falling prices. The high debt burden of key eurozone countries, such as France, Italy, and Belgium, is seen as a particular vulnerability in the face of rising borrowing costs. The euro is being sold not so much because of a decline in business activity, but because of a "premium for fiscal and political risk," explains Alexander Firanchuk, leading researcher at the Foreign Trade Research Laboratory at RANEPA. According to him, the EU economy is currently being influenced by external factors – oil at around $100 per barrel amid the war in the Middle East and the yield on US 10-year bonds above 5%, which is effectively pulling capital into the dollar. More forecasts are available in the material on our website.
Will the euro continue to weaken? In the coming year, the euro will likely reach parity with the dollar (the level of $1.05 in the most pessimistic forecast), according to experts surveyed by Vedomosti. This is due to the dynamics of debt markets in Europe and expectations of higher rates in the US. Investors remain concerned about the situation in some segments of the European government bond market. In late September and early October, there was a renewed sell-off and falling prices. The high debt burden of key eurozone countries, such as France, Italy, and Belgium, is seen as a particular vulnerability in the face of rising borrowing costs. The euro is being sold not so much because of a decline in business activity, but because of a "premium for fiscal and political risk," explains Alexander Firanchuk, leading researcher at the Foreign Trade Research Laboratory at RANEPA. According to him, the EU economy is currently being influenced by external factors – oil at around $100 per barrel amid the war in the Middle East and the yield on US 10-year bonds above 5%, which is effectively pulling capital into the dollar. More forecasts are available on our website. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Will the euro continue to weaken? In the coming year, the euro will likely reach parity with the dollar (the level of $1.05 in the most pessimistic forecast), according to experts surveyed by Vedomosti. This is due to the dynamics of debt markets in Europe and expectations of higher rates in the US. Investors remain concerned about the situation in some segments of the European government bond market. In late September and early October, there was a renewed sell-off and falling prices. The high debt burden of key eurozone countries, such as France, Italy, and Belgium, is seen as a particular vulnerability in the face of rising borrowing costs. The euro is being sold not so much because of a decline in business activity, but because of a "premium for fiscal and political risk," explains Alexander Firanchuk, leading researcher at the Foreign Trade Research Laboratory at RANEPA. According to him, the EU economy is currently being influenced by external factors – oil at around $100 per barrel amid the war in the Middle East and the yield on US 10-year bonds above 5%, which is effectively pulling capital into the dollar. More forecasts are available on our website. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Will the euro continue to weaken? In the coming year, the euro will likely reach parity with the dollar (the level of $1.05 in the most pessimistic forecast), according to experts surveyed by Vedomosti. This is due to the dynamics of debt markets in Europe and expectations of higher rates in the US. Investors remain concerned about the situation in some segments of the European government bond market. In late September and early October, there was a renewed sell-off and falling prices. The high debt burden of key eurozone countries, such as France, Italy, and Belgium, is seen as a particular vulnerability in the face of rising borrowing costs. The euro is being sold not so much because of a decline in business activity, but because of a "premium for fiscal and political risk," explains Alexander Firanchuk, leading researcher at the Foreign Trade Research Laboratory at RANEPA. According to him, the EU economy is currently being influenced by external factors – oil at around $100 per barrel amid the war in the Middle East and the yield on US 10-year bonds above 5%, which is effectively pulling capital into the dollar. More forecasts are available on our website. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Euro slides to 17-month low, boosting dollar’s standing The value of the Euro slid on Monday to a 17-month low amid mounting government debt across Europe. As of mid-afternoon on the East Coast, one Euro is worth roughly $1.12, after sinking below that threshold earlier in the day. The European currency hit its lowest point since May 2025, when it was roughly equivalent…
Euro slides to 17-month low, boosting dollar’s standing The value of the Euro slid on Monday to a 17-month low amid mounting government debt across Europe. As of mid-afternoon on the East Coast, one Euro is worth roughly $1.12, after sinking below that threshold earlier in the day. The European currency hit its lowest point since May 2025, when it was roughly equivalent…
Live: And meanwhile, the euro is falling to its lowest historical low against the dollar in 17 months, largely due to market fears about French debt, which is dragging the single currency down with it, notes...
[UPDATE] Euro slides to 17-month low against dollar (first reported at 2026-10-05T05:30:15Z)
[UPDATE] Euro tumbles to 17-month low against dollar (first reported at 2026-10-05T05:30:15Z)
[UPDATE] Euro tumbles to 17-month low against dollar (first reported at 2026-10-05T05:30:15Z)
Reuters Poll-Euro Forecast to Trade at $1.16 in Three Months, $1.17 in Six Months and $1.18 in a Year (vs $1.15, $1.16 and $1.18 in August Poll)
Reuters Poll-Euro Forecast to Trade at $1.16 in Three Months, $1.17 in Six Months and $1.18 in a Year (vs $1.15, $1.16 and $1.18 in August Poll)
Reuters Poll-Euro Forecast to Trade at $1.16 in Three Months, $1.17 in Six Months and $1.18 in a Year (vs $1.15, $1.16 and $1.18 in August Poll)
Reuters Poll-Euro Forecast to Trade at $1.15 in Three Months, $1.16 in Six Months and $1.18 in a Year (vs $1.16, $1.17 and $1.18 in July Poll)
Reuters Poll-Euro Forecast to Trade at $1.15 in Three Months, $1.16 in Six Months and $1.18 in a Year (vs $1.16, $1.17 and $1.18 in July Poll)
Reuters Poll-Euro Forecast to Trade at $1.15 in Three Months, $1.16 in Six Months and $1.18 in a Year (vs $1.16, $1.17 and $1.18 in July Poll)
European Forex Early Morning: Euro falls against dollar, trading in the upper 1.13 range.
Inflation is forecast to hit 3 per cent in the Eurozone this year, up from 2.1 per cent in 2025 and well above the European Central Bank's 2 per cent target. Across the broader EU, inflation is projected at 3.1 per cent in 2026. •
Inflation is forecast to hit 3 per cent in the Eurozone this year, up from 2.1 per cent in 2025 and well above the European Central Bank's 2 per cent target. Across the broader EU, inflation is projected at 3.1 per cent in 2026. •
EURUSD could not extend above the 100 hour MA. Sellers reverse lower and to a new low •
EURUSD could not extend above the 100 hour MA. Sellers reverse lower and to a new low •
EURUSD could not extend above the 100 hour MA. Sellers reverse lower and to a new low •
EURUSD could not extend above the 100 hour MA. Sellers reverse lower and to a new low •
EURUSD could not extend above the 100 hour MA. Sellers reverse lower and to a new low •
UK/EU Session Update: #EURUSD is stuck between the goalposts. • • 1.1630's and the 55 WMA at 1.1638 continues to cap the upside. • • 1.1570/75 confirmed as support yesterday. • • Intraday we're looking neutral but for the week, we still look mildly bearish by making new lows every other day or so.
UK/EU Session Update: #EURUSD is stuck between the goalposts. • • 1.1630's and the 55 WMA at 1.1638 continues to cap the upside. • • 1.1570/75 confirmed as support yesterday. • • Intraday we're looking neutral but for the week, we still look mildly bearish by making new lows every other day or so.
UK/EU Session Update: #EURUSD is stuck between the goalposts. • • 1.1630's and the 55 WMA at 1.1638 continues to cap the upside. • • 1.1570/75 confirmed as support yesterday. • • Intraday we're looking neutral but for the week, we still look mildly bearish by making new lows every other day or so.
UK/EU Session Update: #EURUSD is stuck between the goalposts. • • 1.1630's and the 55 WMA at 1.1638 continues to cap the upside. • • 1.1570/75 confirmed as support yesterday. • • Intraday we're looking neutral but for the week, we still look mildly bearish by making new lows every other day or so.
A poor set of European PMIs suggests that the effects of the US-Iran war are still set to land in Europe. • • We think this could curtail ECB tightening expectations and weigh on EUR/USD: •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).