Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? the favorite at 99%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

17 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESforbes.com96%match99¢
IPhone 17 Price Drop Global Discount Before Apple IPhone 18 Release. • The entire iPhone 17 series is seeing major discounts at several retailers across the globe as the iPhone 18 launch draws closer and retailers clear stock.
The iPhone 18 unveiling ceremony will be held on September 8. Apple has chosen a different slogan for the iPhone 18 Pro Max unveiling ceremony in each region of the world. The choice of localized slogans shows that the marketing message of this event is not limited to the introduction of hardware, and Apple has tried to speak to each market in its own language. Get the latest news: Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
NOm.yicai.com92%match1¢
Apple's first foldable phone is set to debut on September 9th; the iPhone 18 may be absent.
YESforbes.com94%match99¢
iPhone 18 Pro Release Date Has Already Crushed The Competition. • Apple’s September 9th release date for the iPhone 18 Pro squeezes Android rivals out of the holiday launch window and dominates carrier upgrade cycles.
YESforbes.com94%match99¢
How Apple’s iPhone 18 Pro Launch Date Crushes The Competition. • Apple’s September release date for the iPhone 18 Pro squeezes Android rivals out of the holiday launch window and dominates carrier upgrade cycles.
YESforbes.com94%match98¢+1%
Apple iPhone 18 Pro Release Date: Discounted Day Re-Enters The September Schedule. • As a new report asserts a date for the next Apple keynote. Here’s why I think it’s wrong and what’s really going on (with dates and times down to the second).
NOforbes.com92%match1¢
MacBook Neo 2 Release Date Will Boost Apple’s Spring Sales. • The MacBook Neo 2 is expected to launch in Spring 2027 alongside the iPhone 18 and iPhone 18e. It's another step by Apple to split its professional and consumer hardware.
NOtheverge.com93%match2¢-50%
It looks like Apple’s iPhone 18 really will skip the fall launch this year
YESmoney.udn.com92%match98¢+1%
The high-end iPhone 18 will be released in September, while the standard iPhone GO will be delayed until next year. Pegatron: The demand for consumer electronics will not disappear.
YESforbes.com94%match97¢+2%
Here’s When Apple Will Reveal Its iPhone 18 Pro Special Event. • Apple’s next iPhones will go on sale in just over a month. But when should you start looking out for the confirmation of the special event? Here’s all you need to know.
YESforbes.com94%match97¢+2%
Here’s When Apple Will Reveal Its iPhone 18 Pro Special Event Date. • Apple’s next iPhones will go on sale in just over a month. But when should you start looking out for the confirmation of the special event? Here’s all you need to know.
NOforbes.com91%match3¢-67%
Apple's IPhone 18 Production Runs Into A Mounting DRAM Shortage. • Apple has the iPhone 18 silicon ready, but a DRAM shortage is delaying production as AI-driven memory demand tightens global supply.
YESforbes.com95%match97¢+2%
iPhone 18 Pro Price Warning As Apple Downgraded To Hold. • Apple is facing supply chain pressures that will lead to steep price hikes for the iPhone 18 Pro and the iPhone 18 Pro Max ahead of its September launch.
YESforbes.com93%match97¢+2%
Apple Downgraded To Hold Amid iPhone 18 Pro Price Warning. • Apple is facing supply chain pressures that will lead to steep price hikes for the iPhone 18 Pro and the iPhone 18 Pro Max ahead of its September launch.
YESforbes.com99%match96¢+3%
iPhone 18 Pro Release Date: Apple’s Strategic Decision To Defeat Rivals. • Apple’s September launch of the iPhone 18 Pro allows it to learn from its Android rivals. Samsung and Google will take the pain as Apple reaps the benefits.
YESzdnet.co.kr99%match96¢+3%
iPhone 18 Pro, Design Changes… 3 Things That Are Different
YEStheverge.com99%match96¢+3%
The iPhone 18 Pro might get a little extra battery life.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events