Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Open1as of
Market pricing makes Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? the favorite at 65%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
anthropic flipping btc by end of 2026 still looking good • • called it at like 13-20% now at 85% • • literally nowhere else you can even take this trade other than on polymarket
anthropic flipping btc by end of 2026 still looking good • • called it at like 13-20% now at 85% • • literally nowhere else you can even take this trade
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.