WI-07 Republican Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 9 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: Trump-backed Michael Alfonso wins crowded GOP primary for his father-in-law’s former Wisconsin seat
Live: Michael Alfonso, the 26-year-old son-in-law of transportation secretary Sean Duffy, won the Republican primary in Wisconsin’s seventh congressional district. Al
Live: Michael Alfonso, Secretary Duffy’s son-in-law, will win GOP House primary in Wisconsin, CNN projects
Sean Duffy’s son-in-law Michael Alfonso, backed by Trump, fends off opponents to advance to general election. • • In telerally w/ Trump yesterday, Alfonso called his opponents “Never Trumpers” and touted his young age. • • At 26, Alfonso would be youngest member elected to Congress.
Live: Michael Alfonso wins the Republican primary for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, NBC News projects
Live: Sean Duffy’s son-in-law Michael Alfonso wins Wisconsin congressional primary
WASHINGTON (AP) — Michael Alfonso wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Michael Alfonso wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District
Decision Desk HQ projects Michael Alfonso wins the WI US House 7 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:43 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Wisconsin US House 7 Republican Primary • • Michael Alfonso (R): 100 (61.4%) • Kevin Hermening (R): 28 (17.2%) • Jessi Ebben (R): 20 (12.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Wisconsin US House 7 Republican Primary • • Michael Alfonso (R): 100 (61.4%) • Kevin Hermening (R): 28 (17.2%) • Jessi Ebben (R): 20 (12.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Wisconsin US House 7 Republican Primary • • Michael Alfonso (R): 100 (61.4%) • Kevin Hermening (R): 28 (17.2%) • Jessi Ebben (R): 20 (12.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: 5 Things to Know About Michael Alfonso, House Candidate in Wisconsin
#WI07 GOP primary: A super PAC backing Michael Alfonso, the son-in-law of Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy, got another $500K earlier this month from Duffy's old House campaign account: • • The super PAC previously received $1 million from the Duffy account last year.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.