WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 6 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
28 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden plans to tie Rebecca Cooke to democratic socialism
Wisconsin Democrats pick Rebecca Cooke to challenge Republican Van Orden in bid to flip House
Live: Rebecca Cooke, a blue dog Democrat, won a primary challenge by Emily Berge in Wisconsin’s third congressional district, a major target for national Democrats. C
Live: Rebecca Cooke, a blue dog Democrat, won a primary challenge by Emily Berge in Wisconsin’s third congressional district, a major target for national Democrats. C
Live: Rebecca Cooke projected to win Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd House District
Live: Rebecca Cooke wins Wisconsin Democratic primary, setting up Van Orden rematch
Live: Rebecca Cooke will win Democratic primary for Wisconsin's 3rd District, CNN projects
Dem Rebecca Cooke will take on at-risk GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden in a high-stakes rematch for #WI03 • •
WASHINGTON (AP) — Rebecca Cooke wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District.
Live: Rebecca Cooke Wins Democratic Primary for Key Wisconsin House Seat
Rebecca Cooke Wins Democratic Primary for Key Wisconsin House Seat
Live: Democrat Rebecca Cooke wins western Wisconsin congressional primary in targeted district
Democratic Congressional Challenger Rebecca Cooke Wins Her Party’s Nomination for Wisconsin’s Competitive 3rd Congressional District - Fox News Projects
Live: Rebecca Cooke wins the Democratic primary for Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District, NBC News projects
WASHINGTON (AP) — Rebecca Cooke wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Rebecca Cooke wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District
Democratic Congressional Challenger Rebecca Cooke Wins Her Party’s Nomination for Wisconsin’s Competitive 3rd Congressional District - ABC Projects
Democratic Congressional Challenger Rebecca Cooke Wins Her Party’s Nomination for Wisconsin’s Competitive 3rd Congressional District - Ddhq
Decision Desk HQ projects Rebecca Cooke wins the WI US House 3 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:35 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 9% in): Wisconsin US House 3 Democratic Primary • • Rebecca Cooke (D): 5,898 (64.0%) • Emily Berge (D): 3,314 (36.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 9% in): Wisconsin US House 3 Democratic Primary • • Rebecca Cooke (D): 5,898 (64.0%) • Emily Berge (D): 3,314 (36.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Wisconsin US House 3 Democratic Primary • • Rebecca Cooke (D): 98 (76.6%) • Emily Berge (D): 30 (23.4%) • • Follow more results here:
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Wisconsin US House 3 Democratic Primary • • Rebecca Cooke (D): 98 (76.6%) • Emily Berge (D): 30 (23.4%) • • Follow more results here:
Some outside money coming into #WI03 in the last week of the primary to support DCCC-backed Rebecca Cooke over progressive rival Emily Berge. • • Pro-Choice Majority Action just filed to spend $250k on ads supporting Cooke, who is also endorsed by Bernie Sanders.
Some outside money coming into #WI03 in the last week of the primary to support DCCC-backed Rebecca Cooke over progressive rival Emily Berge. • • Pro-Choice Majority Action just filed to spend $250k on ads supporting Cooke, who is also endorsed by Bernie Sanders.
Some outside money coming into #WI03 in the last week of the primary to support DCCC-backed Rebecca Cooke over DSA-backed rival Emily Berge. • • Pro-Choice Majority Action just filed to spend $250k on ads supporting Cooke, who is also endorsed by Bernie Sanders.
Some outside money coming into #WI03 in the last week of the primary to support DCCC-backed Rebecca Cooke over DSA-backed rival Emily Berge. • • Pro-Choice Majority Action just filed to spend $250k on ads supporting Cooke, who is also endorsed by Bernie Sanders.
Rebecca Cooke, who is hoping for a rematch w/ GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden in #WI03 but first has to dispatch insurgent primary foe Emily Berge, is running an ad focused entirely on her support from Bernie Sanders:
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.