Who will Trump speak to in July?
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This hub tracks 23 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Vladimir Putin100%
Mark Rutte100%
Keir Starmer100%
Ahmed al-Sharaa100%
Friedrich Merz100%
Mark Carney100%
Andy Burnham100%
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
US President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social that Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin have told him they will not sell weapons to the Islamic Republic, and that he believes them. Trump added: “If they do, it will be very bad for them, because it is certainly not in their best interest.” “President Xi told me in our recent meeting in Beijing that he will not sell or give weapons to the Islamic Republic of Iran under any circumstances, and that includes Chinese companies,” Trump wrote. Given our relationship, I believe him, and besides, I am doing him a huge favor.” “Likewise, President Putin, despite the terrible war going on in Ukraine (relations are still maintained, as are those with President Zelensky), told me that he would not sell weapons to Iran. He understands that I do not sell weapons to Ukraine, but to NATO countries. They pay the full price, and I have no idea how these weapons are distributed.”
Trump says "Will talk AI with Xi Jinping"... Is he targeting 'China's technology theft'?
Chinese President Xi Jinping will visit the United States on September 24. US President Donald Trump announced this during a meeting with reporters. "We talked about artificial intelligence when I was in Beijing, and we will discuss it again," the American president said. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | in Telegram [in reply to: The US and China will hold the first consultations on AI security under President Donald Trump. This desire arose against the backdrop of the emergence on the market of several advanced artificial intelligence models, such as Mythos, which are capable of finding vulnerabilities in software in record time - this is extremely valuable both for protecting the relevant infrastructure and for those who want to hack it. The negotiations will take place in September and will be aimed at developing common approaches to the risks associated with the most advanced AI models, according to American media. At the same time, Beijing is seeking to secure its ability to influence the development of rules for global AI governance: recently, Xi Jinping announced the creation of the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization (WAICO). Russia was also among its founders. Details in the Kommersant article. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram]
Trump announced Xi Jinping's visit to the US According to President Trump, Chinese leader Xi Jinping will visit the US on September 24, 2026. He added that the meeting will be used to return to the conversation about artificial intelligence - a topic they raised in Beijing. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google
US and Chinese foreign ministers to hold face-to-face meeting; arrangements being made for a meeting between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Trump announced on Truth Social that he had a "very good" conversation with Andy Burnham, the new British Prime Minister, and added that he would meet with him "in the not-too-distant future."
Trump claims to have had a "very good conversation" with the new British Prime Minister Andy Burnham
"I had a very good conversation with the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Andy Burnham... The Prime Minister has got a big job ahead of him, but he will be able to do it and, of course, the U.S.A. will be there to help!" - President Donald J. Trump
Live: Donald Trump details first call with Andy Burnham
Trump says he had a "very good conversation" with newly minted UK PM Andy Burnham, and that the two would meeting "in the not too distant future."
Trump posts on Truth Social: “I had a very good conversation with the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Andy Burnham. We discussed many subjects, including the outstanding relationship we have had with the UK. We will be meeting in the not too distant future for topics of mutual interest. The Prime Minister has got a big job ahead of him, but he will be able to do it and, of course, the U.S.A. will be there to help! We discussed North Sea Oil, Trade, the Military Alliance, Demining of the Hormuz Strait, and many other topics. The call was interesting, and went very well. I wished Prime Minister Burnham, GOOD LUCK AND GODSPEED! President DONALD J. TRUMP
A positive readout from President Trump on his call with Andy Burnham • • He says he believes the new Prime Minister has a tough job but “will be able to do it”
A positive readout from President Trump on his call with Andy Burnham • • He says he believes the new Prime Minister had a tough job but “will be able to do it”
NEW: Donald Trump says he had a “very good conversation” with Andy Burnham this afternoon and they will meet “in the not too distant future” • • “The prime minister has got a big job ahead of him, but he will be able to do it and, of course, the U.S.A. will be there to help!”
NEW: Donald Trump says he had an “very good conversation” with Andy Burnham this afternoon and they will meet “in the not too distant future” • • “The prime minister has got a big job ahead of him, but he will be able to do it and, of course, the U.S.A. will be there to help!”
BREAK: Trump read out of his “interesting” Burnham call: • • “I had a very good conversation with the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Andy Burnham. We discussed many subjects, including the outstanding relationship we have had with the UK. We will be meeting in the not too distant future for topics of mutual interest. The Prime Minister has got a big job ahead of him, but he will be able to do it and, of course, the U.S.A. will be there to help! We discussed North Sea Oil, Trade, the Military Alliance, Demining of the Hormuz Strait, and many other topics. The call was interesting, and went very well. I wished Prime Minister Burnham, GOOD LUCK AND GODSPEED! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
TRUMP SPEAKS WITH NEW U.K. PRIME MINISTER • • President Donald Trump said he had a “very good” call with new U.K. Prime Minister Andy Burnham, discussing trade, North Sea oil, the U.S.-U.K. military alliance and efforts to clear the Strait of Hormuz. Trump said the two leaders plan to meet soon and pledged U.S. support for Burnham’s government.
TRUMP on his call with Burnham • • Trump says he had a “very good” first call with Andy Burnham and promised US support as the new Prime Minister takes office. • • They discussed North Sea oil, trade, defence and clearing mines from the Strait of Hormuz, and agreed to meet soon. • • Notably very warm compared to posts past.
TRUMP on his call withBburnham • • Trump says he had a “very good” first call with Andy Burnham and promised US support as the new Prime Minister takes office. • • They discussed North Sea oil, trade, defence and clearing mines from the Strait of Hormuz, and agreed to meet soon. • • Notably very warm compared to posts past.
I had a very good conversation with the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Andy Burnham. We discussed many subjects, including the outstanding relationship we have had with the UK. We will be meeting in the not too distant future for topics of mutual interest. The Prime Minister has got a big job ahead of him, but he will be able to do it and, of course, the U.S.A. will be there to help! We discussed North Sea Oil, Trade, the Military Alliance, Demining of the Hormuz Strait, and many other topics. The call was interesting, and went very well. I wished Prime Minister Burnham, GOOD LUCK AND GODSPEED! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Live: Trump speaks with newly minted British PM Andy Burnham
"He needs to learn how to wage war with weapons other than words." Lula da Silva is furious with Trump after the announcement of new tariffs on Brazil: "I will speak to him as president."
President Trump is still expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping around Sept. 24 as he has stated, a Sr WH official tells FOX: No change to that
Trump: I'm 90% sure Mojtaba Khamenei is dead
Trump: I'm 90% sure Mojtaba Khamenei is dead
Trump: I'm 90% sure Mojtaba Khamenei is dead
Trump: I'm 90% sure that Mojtaba Khamenei was killed
Trump: I'm 90% sure that Mojtaba Khamenei was killed
Donald Trump nahm Friedrich Merz mit ins „Lewinsky-Zimmer“ im Weißen Haus
Saudi report: Bin Salman spoke with Trump about negotiations with Iran
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.