Who will Trump endorse?

OpenOutcomes7as of

Market pricing makes John Cornyn - TX-Sen the favorite at 2% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

New from John Cornyn to me on Ken Paxton • • On if he’s running a good campaign: “I think it's hard to outrun all the baggage,” citing lack of indy support • • Why is he having a hard time? • • “I think because of all the things we talked about in the primary, which were true.” (Cornyn called him corrupt and a cheater in primary.) • • “You can spend a lot of money, and there is a lot of money being thrown at the race, but if you have a have a bad candidate, it's hard to win…It's going to be hard to change people's minds this late in the game.” • • Is he lazy? • • “I'll let people decide on their own about that.” • • Why not help him raise $? • • “Well, for all the reasons that we pointed out in the primary. The risk for Republicans is if we nominate flawed candidates in November, we risk losing. … This is the way that majority parties become minority parties by nominating candidates that are less than appealing to a general election electorate.” • • Does Paxton deserve to be a senator? • • “I'll let the voters decide that” • • Will you vote for him? • • “I'll support the ticket.”
Tillis says Trump endorsing Paxton over Cornyn was ‘colossal mistake’ GOP Sen. Thom Tillis (N.C.) on Sunday blasted President Trump for endorsing Ken Paxton (R) over Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) in the Texas Senate Republican primary earlier this year. “In the case of Cornyn, he made a colossal mistake,” Tillis told host Jake Tapper on CNN’s “State of the Union.” The North Carolina Republican added,…
Sen. CORNYN joins call for an investigation & issuing subpoena to Donald Trump Jr.: • • “I would support Senator Curtis’ request” • • Cornyn sits on Judiciary & President Trump helped oust him in his primary
Ken Paxton has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next U.S. Senator from Texas — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Ken Paxton has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next U.S. Senator from Texas — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Ken Paxton has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next U.S. Senator from Texas — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
President Trump gives Sen John Cornyn a shout out in his remarks, saying he helped build the wall along with Sen Ted Cruz
Trump unloads on Cornyn, ties AG nomination fight to bitter Texas primary
Live: Donald Trump went after US senator John Cornyn this morning, saying Cornyn didn’t have a problem with the IRS slush fund until after Trump endorsed his opponent
Live: Trump needles Cornyn as Blanche remains blocked
Live: Trump swings at Cornyn over Blanche nomination
CORNYN responds to Trump’s threat to wait out Cornyn & Tillis:
Todd Blanche is a STAR, and everyone knows it! He has the potential to go down as one of the Greatest Attorney Generals of All Time. However, John Cornyn, of Texas, and Thom Tillis, of North Carolina, both of whom I refused to Endorse, and whose political careers have been ended by my action, are refusing to vote for this Great Nominee, who will remain, in any event, as Acting. Remember, both Cornyn and Tillis voted for Merrick Garland, and others, too numerous to mention. I have no objection to temporarily withdrawing Todd’s name, if they do not do the right thing, and putting him back after Cornyn and Tillis are out of office. President DONALD J. TRUMP
Live: Trump: ‘Maybe John Cornyn is upset with me’
Trump on Blanche nomination in the Senate: "Maybe John Cornyn's upset with me because I didn't endorse him. I don't know what it is, but I haven't heard that there's a problem. I've heard he's going through quite nicely."
Trump, asked about Cornyn holding out on Blanche: “Maybe John Cornyn's upset with me because I didn’t endorse him. I don’t know what it is."
On Blanche, Trump said: " Maybe John Cornyn's upset with me because I didn't endorse him. I don't know what it is, but I haven't heard that there's a problem. I've heard he's going through quite nicely."
Does @SteveHiltonx consider himself to be MAGA after receiving Trump’s endorsement for governor? • • “Yes, a supporter of the president,” he told @DashaBurns on #TheConversation. “But California is very different… I consider myself a California conservative.” • •
LISTEN: Now that Swalwell is out, the field for CA gov is wide open. Does the GOP have a shot at turning California red? • • Trump-backed candidate @stevehiltonx joined me on #TheConversation to talk about the state of the race, the impact of Trump’s endorsement and where he thinks Dem leadership is coming up short. • • :
new - Dem group Majority Forward launching new $600K ad dinging Sen. Collins on Iran during her to “stop supporting Trump’s war, Mainers can’t afford it.” • • She said yesterday after the 60-day mark that "it is very likely that I would vote not to authorize further hostilities" • •
Seems like Senate Republicans don't think Trump will endorse Cornyn at this point • • Sen. Daines at Semafor World Economy: "I think the best case scenario right now is for the president to stay neutral" • • " I'd be surprised if the president will weigh in on that race. And staying neutral, frankly, would be a good thing at the moment"
Exclusive — Trump-Endorsed Steve Hilton: With Swalwell Out, Time for Republicans to Consolidate Behind Me
Trump backs Hilton ahead of California GOP vote, testing Bianco’s grip on party endorsement
Texas Sen. John Cornyn is out w/ a new digital ad hitting his opponent State AG Ken Paxton over his endorsement from Tucker Carlson one day after President Trump ripped into Carlson in a TruthSocial post #TXSEN • •
Texas Sen. John Cornyn is out w/ a new digital ad hitting his opponent State AG Ken Paxton over his endorsement from Tucker Carlson one day after President Trump ripped into Carlson in a TruthSocial post #TXSEN • •
Texas Sen. John Cornyn is out w/ a new digital ad hitting his opponent State AG Ken Paxton over his endorsement from Tucker Carlson one day after President Trump ripped into Carlson in a TruthSocial post • •
Texas Sen. John Cornyn is out w/ a new digital ad hitting his opponent State AG Ken Paxton over his endorsement from Tucker Carlson one day after President Trump ripped into Carlson in a TruthSocial post • •
Trump Endorses Steve Hilton In California Gubernatorial Primary
Trump backs Hilton, and Dhillon’s post-Bondi rise
Trump endorses Steve Hilton in California governor's race

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.