Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

OpenOutcomes28as of

Market pricing makes Alexandre Pantoja the favorite at 50% across 28 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Sean Strickland100%
Alexandre Pantoja50%
Aljamain Sterling50%
Nassourdine Imavov43%
Ciryl Gane38%
Merab Dvalishvili32%
Charles Oliveira21%
Max Holloway16%
Sean O'Malley13%
Alexander Volkov11%
Manel Kape10%
Magomed Ankalaev10%
Arman Tsarukyan9%
Dricus Du Plessis9%
Sergei Pavlovich8%
Ian Machado Garry7%
Diego Lopes6%
Paddy Pimblett6%
Umar Nurmagomedov5%
Yair Rodriguez5%
Shavkat Rakhmonov5%
Belal Muhammad3%
Leon Edwards2%
Jiří Procházka2%
Cory Sandhagen1%
Deiveson Figueiredo1%
Jack Della Maddalena1%
Kamaru Usman1%

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Paddy PimblettAl Jazeera English99%match88¢+7%
Rising MMA star Paddy Pimblett’s nine-fight winning streak ends in a bloodied bout against the UFC’s American icon.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events