Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?
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This hub tracks 29 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
King Frederik X100%
King Philippe100%
Princess Beatrix100%
Alar Karis100%
Edgars Rinkēvičs100%
Gitanas Nausėda100%
King Felipe VI100%
Prince Albert II100%
Prince William100%
Alexander Stubb100%
Jonas Gahr Støre100%
JD Vance0%
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Queen Elizabeth broke this unwritten rule once... A royal tradition behind King Charles' absence from Harald V's funeral King Charles III was absent from the state funeral of the late King Harald V of Norway, while Prince William attended as his representative. Royal tradition prevents the British monarch from attending the funerals of kings or presidents and usually assigns the heir to represent him. The Prince of Wales participated in the farewell ceremonies for Harald V and walked in the funeral procession. The late Queen Elizabeth broke this tradition on a rare occasion when she attended the funeral of King Baudouin of Belgium in 1993.
Had an honour to take part in the funeral of His Majesty King Harald V in Oslo. • • He was loved in Norway and beyond, and he was true friend of Latvia. Today, Latvia mourns with the Norwegian people and the Royal family passing of a great statesman and a great hearted human being
Norway bids final farewell to popular King Harald V as crowds and royals converge for his funeral
Live: Funeral service is taking place at Oslo cathedral
Live: The funeral procession for King Harald V of Norway, who died on August 28 at the age of 89, began today in the presence of numerous crowned heads and foreign dignitaries, including Volodymyr Zelensky and Prince Will...
The funeral procession for Norway's King Harald V, who died on August 28 at age 89, has begun in Oslo in the presence of numerous dignitaries, including Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky and Prince William.
The funeral procession for Norway's King Harald V, who died on August 28 at age 89, has begun in Oslo in the presence of numerous dignitaries, including Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky and Prince William.
Live: Funeral procession for Norway's King Harald begins
King Harald V of Norway funeral: mourners and royals gather
Thousands gather to pay their respects to Norway's King Harald at his funeral in Oslo
Norway to bid final farewell to King Harald V with funeral attended by royalty and dignitaries
Norway will bid farewell to King Harald V, a modern and unifying figure whose end of reign was tarnished by scandals, in a funeral attended by European royals and foreign dignitaries. •
What is this event about?
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.