Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Open15as of
Market pricing makes Democratic the favorite at 59% across 15 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
These Democrats aren't ready to jettison big business as party stalwarts shift left
As political parties have polarised by education, Democrats have enjoyed a growing advantage in low-turnout contests. But this does not necessarily translate to general elections
The real test is likely to come in 2028, when a new Republican presidential nominee will have to try to piece Donald Trump’s coalition of lower-turnout groups back together
What is this event about?
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.