Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
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Market pricing makes No Endorsement the favorite at 76% across 23 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
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4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Trump's attempt to prevent Netanyahu's electoral defeat US President Donald Trump did not rule out the possibility of supporting a specific candidate in the upcoming elections for the Israeli Knesset (parliament); a stance that has increased speculation about his possible support aimed at preventing Benjamin Netanyahu's defeat. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Go vote in the Likud primaries and choose a winning team!
US President Trump refused to openly support Netanyahu in the upcoming Israeli elections. Trump responded to Fox's question by saying: "I'd better stay out of the Israeli elections." Netanyahu's expectation was open support.
When Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump met in the Oval Office two weeks ago, the president asked the Israeli prime minister how he was doing in the polls ahead of an Oct. 27 election • Netanyahu paused. Then one of his advisers piped up: "Mr. President, he is winning," the aide said, according to a U.S. official familiar with the exchange • Why it matters: Netanyahu is not winning. And so far, Trump hasn't given him the endorsement he hopes for, despite being asked about it repeatedly by reporters
What is this event about?
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.