Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Open32as of
Market pricing makes Anthropic the favorite at 94% across 32 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Meta Unveils High-Performance AI Model ‘Muse Wonder’… Ranks 2nd in Performance Evaluations
Meta Strikes While the Iron Is Hot... Announces New High-Performance AI Model Equipped with Muse
Meta launches the biggest and best AI models it has ever built
*META DEBUTS MUSE WONDER AI MODEL WITH FRONTIER CAPABILITIES
Mistral launches an AI model that outperforms "many competing models" #Here_is_the_Kingdom
French AI startup Mistral on Tuesday announced its biggest open-weight model, dubbed "Chonk", claiming enhanced performance and security capabilities for clients seeking to keep their data private instead of relying on closed models from the likes of Anthropic and OpenAI
After months of waiting, Mistral releases a new AI model to keep Europe in the race
Anthropic launches Claude Opus 5.5, claims it beats OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol at one-third the cost
Anthropic, which calls for a slowdown in the rollout of new AI capabilities, releases a new model: performance comparable to top-of-the-line models, price reduced by 20%.
DeepSeek announces new AI model; improved performance but lower fees.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declares 'AGI has arrived' after OpenAI unveils GPT-6 Astra
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declares 'AGI has arrived' after OpenAI unveils GPT-6 Astra
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”