Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

OpenOutcomes32as of

Market pricing makes Google the favorite at 73% across 32 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

All further outcomes (2 more):

Company K · Other

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Metaalarabiya_bn98%match4¢-25%
Meta is betting on a new generation of artificial intelligence models to regain its position in the technology race, after launching two new models called Muse Wonder and Muse Wonderful, aiming to compete with OpenAI and Anthropic. According to the company's data, the two models achieved results approaching the performance of Anthropic's most advanced models in reasoning, writing, and programming tests. Meta will make its more powerful model, Muse WonderFool, available exclusively to subscribers of its paid programming tool, Muse Code, while integrating the other model into its Muse app, which topped the list of most downloaded apps on the App Store after its launch last month. Markets reacted positively to the move, with Meta's stock rising 3.4% to $742.96 at the close of trading on Monday, according to Bloomberg. Company founder Mark Zuckerberg added $8.2 billion to his fortune, bringing it to $254.7 billion, maintaining his sixth-place ranking on Forbes' list of the world's richest people. These developments reinforce bets on Meta's ability to translate its progress in artificial intelligence into new business opportunities, amidst fierce competition to develop the most advanced models. #Arabic_Business
Metachosun.com94%match95¢+2%
Meta Unveils High-Performance AI Model ‘Muse Wonder’… Ranks 2nd in Performance Evaluations
Metabiz.chosun.com94%match95¢+2%
Meta Unveils High-Performance AI Model ‘Muse Wonder’… Ranks 2nd in Performance Evaluations
Metaetnews.com97%match5¢-40%
Meta Chases OpenAI and Antropics… Unveils AI Model 'Muse Wonder'
Metazdnet.co.kr92%match5¢-40%
Meta Unveils First Frontier AI Model… “Implementing AI Assistant by Leveraging Long-Term Memory”
Metaafr.com92%match6¢-50%
Zuckerberg says Meta has caught up to AI rivals (thanks to wunderkind)
Metaspa.gov.sa93%match6¢-50%
Science and Technology / Meta launches two new AI models with advanced capabilities
Metayna.co.kr97%match6¢-50%
Meta Catches Up with OpenAI and Antropics... Unveils New AI Model 'Muse Wonder'
Metasemafor.com91%match6¢-50%
Meta has reached AI ‘frontier,’ Zuckerberg says
Metachosun.com94%match7¢-57%
Meta Strikes While the Iron Is Hot... Announces New High-Performance AI Model Equipped with Muse
Metadbws.io97%match7¢-57%
Meta Stock Jumps 3%. Its New Muse AI Models Rival OpenAI and Anthropic. -- Barrons.com
Metazerohedge99%match94¢+3%
It won't be Meta, but prediction markets increasingly confident Google will have the best AI model by the end of the month (per Arena Overall benchmark).
Metabarrons.com96%match5¢-40%
Meta Says New Muse AI Models Rival OpenAI and Anthropic
Metalefigaro.fr93%match4¢-25%
Artificial intelligence: Meta unveils a new "cutting-edge" technology model
Metaaxios.com98%match4¢-25%
[UPDATE] Meta unveils new frontier-class AI models to compete with OpenAI, Anthropic (first reported at 2026-10-12T17:00:15Z)
MetaMeta AI Chief92%match4¢-25%
"it is a surprising model. on every technical benchmark we ran it was neck and neck or better than astra, fable and opus." • • "meta is going to win consumer agents in a landslide."
Metafoxnews.com92%match4¢-25%
Live: Zuckerberg unveils Meta's most advanced AI models yet, designed to tackle complex
Metatheinformation.com97%match4¢-25%
Meta Unveils New AI Models to Challenge OpenAI and Anthropic
Metaaxios97%match2¢+50%
Meta unveils new frontier-class AI models to compete with OpenAI, Anthropic
Metaaxios.com97%match2¢+50%
Meta unveils new frontier-class AI models to compete with OpenAI, Anthropic
Metanytimes.com93%match2¢+50%
Meta Unveils New Series of Advanced A.I. Models
MetaNews93%match2¢+50%
*META DEBUTS MUSE WONDER AI MODEL WITH FRONTIER CAPABILITIES
Metastockmktnewz92%match2¢+50%
Meta Platforms $META Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang just posted this: • • “introducing muse wonder • • our new frontier model. state-of-the-art at personal agents and professional agents.”
Googlebusinessinsider.com92%match71¢+3%
Exclusive: Google is about to roll out a new AI model. Employees say they're testing another that's way better.
Anthropicstockmktnewz96%match77¢-5%
The battle of the AIs continues • • Google overtakes Anthropic???
Mistraletnews.com92%match0¢
France’s Mistral Unveils 1 Trillion-Parameter Open AI Model… “Surpasses Chinese Competitors”
Mistralyna.co.kr93%match0¢
France's Mistral Unveils Open AI Model... "Surpasses Chinese Competitors"
Mistralalarabiya_bn97%match0¢
French AI startup Mistral has unveiled a new model, ending a gap of nearly five months between its major releases. The company claims the new model outperforms many competing models. Founded three years ago, Mistral is widely regarded as the biggest European competitor to US and Chinese AI companies, but it hadn't released a new model since May. #Arabic_Business
MistralAl Arabiya93%match0¢
French company Mistral: We have launched an artificial intelligence model that outperforms Chinese competitors.
Mistralcnbc94%match0¢
Mistral unveils new AI model it says rivals best open systems from China

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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