Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Open5as of
Market pricing makes JetBlue the favorite at 8% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
$JBLU | JetBlue Q2 2026 Earnings: • - Adj Loss/Shr 66C (est Loss/Shr 68C) • - Oper Rev $2.7B (est $2.7B) • - Sees Q3 Capex About $300M (est $209.6M) • - Re-Established Year 2026 Outlook • - Sees FY Capex About $850M, Saw About $800M • - Introduced A 2028 EPS Target Of At Least $1.00/Shr
Frontier hoping to avoid fate of budget rival Spirit Airlines
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.
A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.