What will Trump say in July?
Open24as of
Market pricing makes Allahu Akbar the favorite at 50% across 24 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Movie Star100%
Pathetic100%
Green New Scam100%
Genius100%
Visa100%
Golden Dome100%
Messi / Ronaldo100%
Cosmos100%
Muscle100%
Future President100%
Allahu Akbar50%
Uranium0%
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Trump: My third presidential term will be best yet
Trump: We are building a golden dome over our country and it will be a very effective dome.
Trump: We are building a golden dome over our country and it will be a very effective dome.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf