What will Trump say in August?
Open35as of
Market pricing makes Green New Scam the favorite at 45% across 35 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Ass100%
Shit100%
Slob100%
Marxist100%
Crooked Joe100%
Dictionary100%
Gay100%
No No No100%
Through the Roof100%
Midterm100%
Six Seven100%
Future President100%
Pelosi100%
Movie Star43%
Antifa37%
Sucker33%
Tango23%
Soaking Wet12%
Garbage9%
Cocaine5%
Red Card1%
Potato1%
All further outcomes (5 more):
Epstein · American Dream · Moscow · Thomas Jefferson · World Cup
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
US President Donald Trump responded to the expiration of the memorandum of understanding with Iran: Let's finish this, and after we finish, we'll answer some of these questions.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf