What will Trump say during remarks in New York?
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This hub tracks 21 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Border 15+ times100%
Crime 15+ times100%
Hell 7+ times100%
Think About It100%
Police Officer100%
Crazy100%
Kamala100%
Biden100%
Stock Market100%
Hottest100%
Transgender100%
Zohran / Mamdani100%
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
US President Donald Trump said in a speech in Nassau County, New York: "I will soon declare the Strait of Hormuz to be American territory." In another part of his speech about the increase in gasoline prices, Trump said: "If you have to pay a little more for your gas, I will never apologize. I did the right thing. A very evil country cannot have nuclear weapons." He also told the audience: "In two and a half years, someone will be elected. Please remember one thing; Trump is the one who did this."
Live: Donald Trump to give speech on crime and safety during New York visit
Live: Donald Trump to give speech on crime and safety during New York visit – US politics live
What is this event about?
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf