What will Trump post this week? (July 27 - August 2)
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This hub tracks 17 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
‼ï¸� Trump posted photos from his meeting with Netanyahu on Truth Social and said : • • Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu of Israel, along with myself and Representatives had a very good meeting! Obviously, many important subjects were discussed. President DONALD J. TRUMP
Trump's claim: Lindsey Graham has taken tough positions on Iran in the past, but in the past few weeks, he's started to think a deal would be better / Choice
BREAKING: "I said we will never be a socialist country. But I was right. We're going to be a communist country. That's what they want." • • President Trump blasts the growing radical movement from progressives within the Democratic Party, calling their penchant for pushing communism the "greatest threat to our country in history." • • "This is a serious threat because they're going to promise all sorts of things. In one year, the country will be absolutely bankrupt. You'll live in squalor. You'll live in fear. You won't have police. You won't have firemen. You won't have anybody." • • "We're a very nice party. We shouldn't be so nice, to be honest with you."
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.