What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

OpenOutcomes8as of

Market pricing makes <$1T the favorite at 19% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

<$1T19%
$1.75T–$2.0T19%
$1.5T–$1.75T17%
$2.5T+15%
$1.25T–$1.5T11%
$2.0T–$2.25T9%
$2.25T–$2.5T6%
$1.0T–$1.25T3%

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

$1.25T–$1.5Tyna.co.kr91%match92¢-3%
OpenAI Postpones IPO, Discussing 40 Trillion Won Investment
$1.25T–$1.5Tstockmktnewz97%match17¢-35%
OpenAI is reportedly looking to raise at least $30 Billion at a valuation of ~$1.4 trillion in another pre IPO funding round
$1.0T–$1.25Tstockmktnewz97%match93¢+4%
OpenAI is reportedly looking to raise at least $30 Billion at a valuation of ~$1.4 trillion in another pre IPO funding round
$1.25T–$1.5TWalter Bloomberg98%match17¢-35%
OPENAI SEEKS $30 BILLION AT $1.4 TRILLION VALUATION • • OpenAI is targeting at least $30 billion in new funding at a roughly $1.4 trillion valuation, Bloomberg reports, after postponing its IPO plans. • • The financing would serve as a bridge round, following OpenAI’s $122 billion raise in March at an $852 billion valuation. • • The fundraising comes as OpenAI’s revenue run rate has topped $40 billion, while competition with Anthropic intensifies.
$1.0T–$1.25TWalter Bloomberg98%match93¢+4%
OPENAI SEEKS $30 BILLION AT $1.4 TRILLION VALUATION • • OpenAI is targeting at least $30 billion in new funding at a roughly $1.4 trillion valuation, Bloomberg reports, after postponing its IPO plans. • • The financing would serve as a bridge round, following OpenAI’s $122 billion raise in March at an $852 billion valuation. • • The fundraising comes as OpenAI’s revenue run rate has topped $40 billion, while competition with Anthropic intensifies.
$1.5T–$1.75Tchosun.com97%match22¢-23%
OpenAI Pursues $1.5 Trillion Valuation… Considering Additional Investment Before IPO
$1.25T–$1.5Tfortune.com97%match83¢+7%
OpenAI IPO looks like a no-go: Sam Altman is discussing a new round of VC funding valuing the company at $1.2 trillion
$1.0T–$1.25Tfortune.com97%match13¢-77%
OpenAI IPO looks like a no-go: Sam Altman is discussing a new round of VC funding valuing the company at $1.2 trillion
$1.0T–$1.25Twam.ae98%match12¢-75%
OpenAI targets a $1.2 trillion valuation before its IPO

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.