What will happen before GTA VI?

ResolvedOutcomes10as of

This hub tracks 10 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

10 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

GPT-6 releasedFrench Media99%match30¢+67%
Rockstar Games studio has once again fallen victim to a hack, just months before the release of the highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI.
GPT-6 releasedPolymarket98%match67¢-25%
RT @PolymarketSport: BREAKING: You're more likely to see the Spurs in the NBA Finals than play GTA 6 this year.
GPT-6 releasedPolymarket99%match60¢-17%
[Replying to @CultureCrave] @CultureCrave @IGN 34% chance GTA 6 is postponed again. > Take-Two says 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is still set to release on November 19, 2026 Marketing starts this Summer (via @IGN)
China invades TaiwanFirst Squawk99%match52¢-4%
Chinese invasion of Taiwan projected before GTA VI-Polymarket
China invades TaiwanPolymarket99%match52¢-4%
BREAKING: Chinese invasion of Taiwan projected before GTA VI.
Russia-Ukraine CeasefireCGTN America98%match60¢+67%
Zelenskiy Says Ukraine Is Ready for Energy Ceasefire if Russia Agrees
China invades TaiwanThe Economist99%match48¢+4%
The likeliest scenario for 2026 is not a full-fledged conflict, but an increase in China’s political, economic and military pressure against Taiwan
China invades TaiwanThe Wall Street Journal98%match48¢+4%
An amphibious assault by China to conquer Taiwan would be one of the toughest military operations to pull off. Here’s how it might look.
China invades TaiwanThe Wall Street Journal98%match49¢+2%
An amphibious assault by China to conquer Taiwan would be one of the toughest military operations to pull off. Here’s how it might look.
China invades TaiwanReuters97%match52¢-4%
Taiwan, Japan voice concern over Chinese military movements

What is this event about?

This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.

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