What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
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Market pricing makes $1M the favorite at 11% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Polymarket has entered a fully fee-based era, and its annual revenue may exceed $400 million. • • One of the largest prediction markets, Polymarket, has entered a fully fee-based era, with fees rising significantly over the past two days. On April 1, the latest full-day data shows fees reached $927k, implying an annualized fee run rate of ~$338 million for Polymarket.
Polymarket has entered a fully fee-based era, and its annual revenue may exceed $400 million. • • One of the largest prediction markets, Polymarket, has entered a fully fee-based era, with fees rising significantly over the past two days. On April 1, the latest full-day data shows fees reached $927k, implying an annualized fee run rate of ~$338 million for Polymarket.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.
This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.