Weed rescheduled

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 25% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

24 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

December 31oraclenyse99%match57¢+32%
$TLRY $ACB • • DEA Will Start Accepting Applications From Medical Marijuana Businesses That Want Federal Rescheduling Protections This Week • • MM
June 30oraclenyse99%match7¢-100%
$TLRY $ACB • • DEA Will Start Accepting Applications From Medical Marijuana Businesses That Want Federal Rescheduling Protections This Week • • MM
December 31time.com99%match57¢+32%
What to Know About Trump’s Reclassification of Medical Marijuana
June 30time.com99%match10¢-100%
What to Know About Trump’s Reclassification of Medical Marijuana
December 31marketnews_feed99%match60¢+25%
*US EXPECTED TO EASE CANNABIS RESTRICTIONS AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY ...
June 30marketnews_feed99%match17¢-100%
*US EXPECTED TO EASE CANNABIS RESTRICTIONS AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY ...
December 31News99%match40¢-37%
*TRUMP ADMIN. POISED TO RESCHEDULE CANNABIS TO CATEGORY III
June 30News99%match17¢-100%
*TRUMP ADMIN. POISED TO RESCHEDULE CANNABIS TO CATEGORY III
December 31Reuters99%match60¢+25%
U.S.-Listed Shares of Cannabis Companies Rise After Report Says US Set to Reclassify Marijuana
June 30Reuters99%match17¢-100%
U.S.-Listed Shares of Cannabis Companies Rise After Report Says US Set to Reclassify Marijuana
March 31nypost.com99%match99¢+1%
Pot Inc. is waiting to cash in on Trump’s marijuana reclassification — but the DOJ is still dragging its feet
December 31The Wall Street Journal98%match15¢+400%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
March 31The Wall Street Journal98%match96¢+4%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
June 30The Wall Street Journal98%match85¢+18%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
December 31The Wall Street Journal98%match80¢-69%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
March 31The Wall Street Journal98%match96¢+4%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
March 31The Wall Street Journal98%match96¢+4%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
June 30The Wall Street Journal98%match72¢+39%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
December 31The Wall Street Journal98%match54¢+39%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
March 31The Wall Street Journal98%match96¢+4%
THC drinks are in danger of going extinct, as a federal clampdown means that hemp-based THC beverages have to be off shelves by Nov. 12. That's left entrepreneurs like Jake Bullock with months to save their businesses.
March 31unusual_whales99%match24¢-100%
Trump on marijuana rescheduling: "A lot of people want to see it — the reclassification — because it leads to tremendous amounts of research that can't be done unless you reclassify, so we are looking at that very strongly."
March 31Rapid Response 4799%match39¢-100%
.@POTUS on rescheduling marijuana: You see polls that 82% of the people want this. I have friends that are really, really sick... and they realize that this is something that makes them feel better, without all of the side effects.
March 31Rapid Response 4799%match39¢-100%
Cancer researcher: "This decision will accelerate scientific research, and expand what can responsibly be studied." [Quoting @RapidResponse47] > .@POTUS: "I'm pleased to announce that I will be signing an Executive Order to reschedule marijuana from a Schedule I to a Schedule III controlled substance with legitimate medical uses."
March 31Rapid Response 4799%match39¢-100%
.@POTUS: "I'm pleased to announce that I will be signing an Executive Order to reschedule marijuana from a Schedule I to a Schedule III controlled substance with legitimate medical uses."

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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