WA-04 Primary Winners
Resolved12as of
This hub tracks 12 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: A conservative district in central Washington is likely to have a much more Trump-friendly representative next year. Amanda McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner and a Republican backed by President Trump, led a nonpartisan primary and will advance to the general election alongside John Duresky, a Democrat.
Live: A conservative district in central Washington is likely to have a much more Trump-friendly representative next year. Amanda McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner and a Republican backed by President Trump, led a nonpartisan primary and will advance to the general election alongside John Duresky, a Democrat.
What is this event about?
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.