WA-03 Primary Winners

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This hub tracks 7 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Democratic Rep. Gluesenkamp Perez and Trump-backed Republican advance in Washington primary
US Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances to general election in Washington battleground district, US media projects
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezReuters98%match99¢+1%
Democratic U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Advances to General Election in Washington’s Battleground U.S. House District 3 - NBC Projects
John Braundbws.io97%match99¢+1%
John Braun advances to general election in Washington battleground district, US media projects
John BraunReuters98%match99¢+1%
State Senate Republican Leader John Braun Advances to General Election in Washington’s Battleground U.S. House District 3 - CNN Projects
John Braunms.now98%match99¢+1%
Live: Republican John Braun projected to advance in Washington’s 3rd House District
Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez survives Washington’s crowded primary
Live: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances to general election in closely watched Washington state House race
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezReuters98%match99¢+1%
Democratic U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Advances to General Election in Washington’s Battleground U.S. House District 3- AP Projects
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez easily dispatches progressive challenger Brent Hennrich and will advance to the November runoff. • • Democrats collectively taking ~56% in #WA03 so far w/ about half the votes in
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez easily dispatches progressive challenger Brent Hennrich and will advance to the November runoff. • • Democrats collectively taking ~56% in #WA03 so far w/ about half the votes in
John BraunReuters98%match99¢+1%
State Senate Republican Leader John Braun Advances to General Election in Washington’s Battleground U.S. House District 3 - AP Projects
John Brauncnn.com97%match99¢+1%
Live: Trump-backed John Braun will advance in Washington's 3rd District, CNN projects
Live: Democratic Rep. Gluesenkamp Perez will advance in Washington’s 3rd District, CNN projects
Live: Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, a moderate Democrat from Washington, will advance to the general election and face Republican John Braun, a retired Navy captain who has President Trump’s backing. Gluesenkamp Perez defeated a challenge from a progressive, Brent Hennrich, in the state’s nonpartisan primary.
John Braunnytimes.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, a moderate Democrat from Washington, will advance to the general election and face Republican John Braun, a retired Navy captain who has President Trump’s backing. Gluesenkamp Perez defeated a challenge from a progressive, Brent Hennrich, in the state’s nonpartisan primary.
Brent Hennrichnytimes.com98%match97¢+3%
Live: Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, a moderate Democrat from Washington, will advance to the general election and face Republican John Braun, a retired Navy captain who has President Trump’s backing. Gluesenkamp Perez defeated a challenge from a progressive, Brent Hennrich, in the state’s nonpartisan primary.
Decision Desk HQ projects Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and John Braun win the WA US House 3 Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:18 PM EDT
Decision Desk HQ projects Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and John Braun win the WA US House 3 Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:18 PM EDT
John Braunapnews.com97%match99¢+1%
Live: Republican John Braun advances in battleground Washington district
Live: Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez projected to advance in Washington’s 3rd House District
Decision Desk HQ projects Marie Perez and John Braun win the WA US House 3 Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:18 PM EDT • • Follow live results here:
Decision Desk HQ projects Marie Perez and John Braun win the WA US House 3 Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:18 PM EDT • • Follow live results here:
Live: US Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez fends off progressive challenger in battleground Washington district
*DEMOCRAT MARIE GLUESENKAMP PEREZ ADVANCES IN WASHINGTON HOUSE ELECTION : AP PROJECTS • • *REPUBLICAN JOHN BRAUN ADVANCES IN WASHINGTON HOUSE ELECTION : AP PROJECTS
John Braunzerohedge97%match99¢+1%
*DEMOCRAT MARIE GLUESENKAMP PEREZ ADVANCES IN WASHINGTON HOUSE ELECTION : AP PROJECTS • • *REPUBLICAN JOHN BRAUN ADVANCES IN WASHINGTON HOUSE ELECTION : AP PROJECTS
John BraunAPws98%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican John Braun advances to the general election for U.S. House in Washington's 3rd Congressional District
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezAPws98%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances to the general election for U.S. House in Washington's 3rd Congressional District
John Braunapnews.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican John Braun advances to the general election for U.S. House in Washington’s 3rd Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advances to the general election for U.S. House in Washington’s 3rd Congressional District

What is this event about?

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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