Virginia Senate Election Winner
Open13as of
Market pricing makes Mark Warner (D) the favorite at 98% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
BREAKING: 47% of Virginia voted for Trump, and they will now get just 9% of the seats after Virginia moves forward with having only one Republican congressional seat and ten Democrats.
BREAKING: Virginia Democrats have introduced legislation to prohibit federal immigration enforcement near polling places, electoral boards, and recount locations.
Yup [Quoting @ChristianHeiens]
> Democrats take absolute power in Virginia and the first thing they do is introduce the “Legalize Crime”, “Steal All Future Elections”, and “Duplicate Somali Daycare Fraud” Acts.
Bryce Reeves drops Senate bid in Virginia
Bryce Reeves drops Senate bid in Virginia
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.