Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
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This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Peter Magyar will be sworn in as Prime Minister of Hungary today He has already arrived at the parliament building. The swearing-in of the new prime minister will put an end to Viktor Orban's 16-year rule.
Outgoing Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has submitted his resignation as leader of the Fidesz party, party member Eric Banky told local media. However, a final decision will only be made at the party's congress in June, when a vote on the identity of the leadership will be held. @asafroz15
Assaf Rosenzweig Outgoing Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has submitted his resignation as leader of the Fidesz party, party member Eric Banky told local media. However, a final decision will only be made at the party's congress in June, when a vote on the identity of the leadership will be held.
Hungary's outgoing prime minister, Viktor Orban, offered his resignation as leader of his Fidesz party on Tuesday. • • More Here →
Viktor Orbán will step back from Hungary's parliament after losing the April 12 election, ending 16 years in power. He says he'll focus on reorganizing Fidesz.
Viktor Orbán will step back from parliament after losing the April 12 election, ending 16 years in power. • • He said he’s not needed in parliament but will focus on reorganizing his party, Fidesz.
Tomer Almagor Outgoing Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban announced that he is giving up his seat in the Hungarian parliament after the defeat to Petr Magyar, and will instead focus on "reorganizing the national bloc."
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.