Vermont Governor Election Winner

OpenOutcomes13as of

Market pricing makes Phil Scott (R) the favorite at 75% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%
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What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Phil Scott (R)CNN Reporter97%match14¢+79%
Environment check: Phil Scott, Vermont's Republican governor, is trailing in his reelection campaign, per a new UNH poll: • • Scott won reelection in 2024 by over 50 points while Trump lost the state by 31 #VTGOV
Phil Scott (R)Axios Reporter93%match87¢-14%
Vermont's Republican Gov. Phil Scott in new ad: • • "Property taxes are still out of control, which is why we can't afford to go back. We need to double down on electing common sense leaders who will actually work with me to finally make Vermont more affordable."
Phil Scott (R)Axios Reporter93%match87¢-14%
Vermont's Republican Gov. Phil Scott in new ad: • • "Property taxes are still out of control, which is why we can't afford to go back. We need to double down on electing common sense leaders who will actually work with people to finally make Vermont more affordable."

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.