Vermont Governor Republican Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes18as of

This hub tracks 18 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Phil Scott100%
Candidate B0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate N0%
John Rodgers0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate L0%
Other0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate O0%

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

John Rodgerstheguardian.com97%match0¢
Live: Democrat Molly Gray has won the primary for Vermont lieutenant governor. Incumbent John Rodgers ran in the Republican primary uncontested.
Phil Scottcnn.com97%match100¢
Live: Incumbent Gov. Phil Scott will win GOP gubernatorial nomination in Vermont, CNN projects
Phil Scottms.now97%match100¢
Live: Gov. Phil Scott wins GOP nomination for Vermont governor

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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