Venezuela presidential election scheduled

OpenOutcomes3as of

Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 17% across 3 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

December 31News92%match81¢+2%
Venezuela will hold elections URGENTLY when it is ready - authorized by President Rodriguez
March 31Al Jazeera English98%match95¢+5%
Venezuela’s National Assembly chief rules out new presidential election
March 31First Squawk98%match94¢+6%
Venezuela’s National Assembly president said there will be no election in the near term.
March 31FinancialJuice98%match94¢+6%
US Energy Secretary Wright sees Venezuela elections in 18-24 months - Politico
March 31First Squawk98%match94¢+6%
WRIGHT SEES VENEZUELA ELECTIONS IN 18-24 MONTHS: POLITICO

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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