US strike on Mexico
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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 11% across 3 tracked outcomes, as of .
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11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
U.S. DEPUTY SECRETARY OF STATE SAYS KILLING OF DRUG LORD OSEGUERA "EL MENCHO" IS GREAT DEVELOPMENT FOR MEXICO, THE US, LATIN AMERICA, AND THE WORLD
U.S. DEPUTY SECRETARY OF STATE SAYS KILLING OF DRUG LORD OSEGUERA "EL MENCHO" IS GREAT DEVELOPMENT FOR MEXICO, THE US, LATIN AMERICA, AND THE WORLD
A second airpot in Mexico the Puerto Vallarta airport is reported to have also been attacked by the cartel.
The American and Mexicans have struck and killed the head of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel in response the cartel has launched retaliatory attacks against police and other civilian sites. [Quoting @WarMonitor3]
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There is unconfirmed reports that Guadalajara International Airport in Mexico has been stormed by CJNG fighters.
Breaking: Mexico killed the country’s most powerful drug kingpin, stepping up its war against cartels amid U.S. pressure
On Feb. 20, Joint Task Force Southern Spear, under orders from SOUTHCOM commander Gen. Francis L. Donovan, carried out a lethal strike on a vessel linked to designated terrorist organizations in the Eastern Pacific. The vessel was operating along known drug-trafficking routes,…
US navy conducted 3 precision strikes against Narco boats yesterday in the Caribbean Sea.
Crockett: Unanimous consent to enter into the record: El Paso air space reopened after FAA quickly rescinds ten day flights restriction. This was published and it says it was because of an impasse with the DOD over the use of unmanned military aircraft—not triggered by Mexican…
[Replying to @juliettekayyem] @juliettekayyem Huh… if we were “going into Mexico” this is not what it worked look like at all. The NOTAM also specifically states that this does not affect aircraft or flights on the Mexican side of the border, only in the United States. > !!!! There is no explanation for FAA closing El Paso airport for ten days except for Special Security Concerns It’s an unprecedented move. The airport calls itself the gateway to Mexico. If we were going into Mexico, this is what it would look like.
[Replying to @sentdefender] The NOTAM specifically states that aircraft and flights on the Mexican side of the border are not effected by the Temporary Flight Restrictions (TFR), with the restrictions only applying to flights within the United States. > The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) issued a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) Wednesday morning entirely closing the airspace over the Western Texas city of El Paso for the next ten days, citing “special security reasons,” while classifying a large area over both El Paso and…
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.