U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

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This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

YESskynewsarabia99%match96¢+4%
Issuance of US passports bearing Trump's image begins #SkyOnline
YESfoxnews.com99%match74¢+35%
Newsom mocks Trump's limited-edition passport with fake California driver's license featuring gov's portrait
YESFrench Media99%match73¢+37%
Passports, tickets, monuments: Donald Trump wants to put his name everywhere

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

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