US civil war before 2027?
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Market pricing makes US civil war before 2027? the favorite at 0%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming the US is in a civil war.
Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a wide consensus of reporting that the US has entered a literal civil war will qualify.