UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? the favorite at 6%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

28 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOwamnews95%match95¢-1%
The President of the UAE sent a written message to the Emir of Qatar inviting him to attend the 2026 UN Water Conference, which the UAE will host in partnership with the Republic of Senegal from December 8-10, 2026, in Abu Dhabi. #WAM
NOalarabytv99%match96¢-2%
#Breaking | Qatari Foreign Ministry: The Prime Minister and Foreign Minister discussed with the UAE Foreign Minister joint coordination to de-escalate tensions
NOAl Araby99%match96¢-2%
Qatari Foreign Ministry: The Prime Minister and Foreign Minister discussed with the UAE Foreign Minister joint coordination to de-escalate tensions
Qatar calls for de-escalation of tensions in the Gulf region.
NOskynewsarabia99%match92¢+2%
The President of the UAE and the Emir of Qatar discussed regional developments and their serious repercussions on regional and international security and stability during a phone call. #SocialSky
NOSky News Arabia99%match92¢+2%
The President of the UAE and the Emir of Qatar discussed regional developments and their serious repercussions on regional and international security and stability during a telephone call.
NOwamnews_eng99%match92¢+2%
UAE President and Qatar’s Emir discuss fraternal ties and regional developments in phone call • • #WamNews • •
NOwamnews99%match92¢+2%
The President and the Emir of Qatar discuss fraternal relations and regional developments during a telephone call. #WAM
NOfirstsquawk99%match92¢+2%
QATAR AIRWAYS - RESUMES OPERATIONS TO ABU DHABI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
NOfaytuksnetwork99%match91¢+3%
Qatari Foreign Minister: We are continuing coordination with our partners in the Gulf states to help restore stability.
NOalarabytv99%match91¢+3%
#Breaking | Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister: We are continuing to coordinate with the Gulf states and the region to reach the best formula to restore stability.
NOcgtneurope99%match91¢+3%
QATARI FOREIGN MINISTER: WE ARE CONTINUING COORDINATION WITH PARTNERS IN THE GULF STATES TO RESTORE STABILITY
NOmarketnews_feed99%match91¢+3%
QATARI FOREIGN MINISTER: WE ARE CONTINUING COORDINATION WITH PARTNERS IN THE GULF STATES TO RESTORE STABILITY ...
NOfirstsquawk99%match91¢+3%
QATARI FOREIGN MINISTER: WE ARE CONTINUING COORDINATION WITH PARTNERS IN THE GULF STATES TO RESTORE STABILITY
NOAl Arabiya99%match91¢+3%
Qatari Foreign Minister: We are continuing to coordinate with our partners in the Gulf states to restore stability.
NOiranintlbrk98%match91¢+3%
The Qatari Foreign Ministry announced that the country's Prime Minister discussed the regional situation and efforts to reduce tensions in a phone call with the Kuwaiti Foreign Minister, emphasizing that all parties must cooperate in mediation efforts to resolve the crisis peacefully.
NOSky News Arabia99%match91¢+3%
The United Arab Emirates strongly condemns the terrorist attack that targeted a commercial cargo ship in Qatari territorial waters with a drone.
NOmarketnews_feed98%match91¢+3%
QATARI FOREIGN MINISTRY: THE PRIME MINISTER AND FOREIGN MINISTER AFFIRMED THE NECESSITY FOR THE PARTIES TO RESPOND TO THE MEDIATION AND REACH A SUSTAINABLE AGREEMENT. ...
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher99%match91¢+3%
The Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs: We stand in solidarity with the United Arab Emirates and support it in all measures it takes to preserve its sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity.
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher99%match91¢+3%
The Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs: We condemn the Iranian attacks on the United Arab Emirates and consider them a blatant violation of its sovereignty and a threat to the security and stability of the region.
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher98%match91¢+3%
Final statement of the Qatari-Emirati Higher Committee: Emphasizing the importance of developing the business environment, stimulating mutual investments, and creating partnerships between the public and private sectors.
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher99%match91¢+3%
Final statement of the Qatari-Emirati Higher Committee: Bilateral relations are moving steadily towards a more advanced stage of cooperation and integration.
NOQatar PM99%match92¢+2%
Today, in the company of Sheikh @ABZayed, we held the seventh session of the Joint Higher Committee between the State of Qatar and the sisterly United Arab Emirates. Our two countries and peoples are bound by strong ties that reflect the aspirations of our leadership and citizens to strengthen common interests and develop cooperation and integration in various fields. Thank you to our brothers for their generous hospitality.
NOwamnews99%match92¢+2%
video .. Final press release of the seventh session of the Joint Higher Committee for Cooperation between the United Arab Emirates and the State of Qatar #WAM
NOwamnews99%match92¢+2%
Final press release of the seventh session of the Joint Higher Committee for Cooperation between the United Arab Emirates and the State of Qatar #WAM
NOUAE Foreign Ministry99%match92¢+2%
Final press release of the seventh session of the Joint Higher Committee for Cooperation between the United Arab Emirates and the State of Qatar
NOwam.ae99%match92¢+2%
Final press release of the seventh session of the Joint Higher Committee for Cooperation between the United Arab Emirates and the State of Qatar
YESalmayadeennews99%match8¢-25%
The Gulf 2026... an unforeseen rupture. Report by: Rana Abi Jumaa #AlMayadeen

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events