TX-35 House Election Winner

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Market pricing makes Johnny Garcia (D) the favorite at 59% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .

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What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Texas's 35th congressional district is one of a number of redrawn congressional districts in south Texas. • • This majority-Hispanic seat is forecasted as a Republican flip, but limited polling has shown a close race. • • President Trump would have won this seat by around a 10-point margin in 2024.
Texas's 35th congressional district is one of a number of redrawn congressional districts in south Texas. • • This majority-Hispanic seat is forecasted as a Republican flip, but limited polling has shown a close race. • • President Trump would have won this seat by around a 10-point margin in 2024.
Texas's 35rd district is one of a number of redrawn congressional districts in south Texas. • • This majority-Hispanic seat is forecasted as a Republican flip. Polling has shown a close race. • • President Trump would have won this seat by around a 10-point margin in 2024.
Texas's 35rd district is one of a number of redrawn congressional districts in south Texas. • • This majority-Hispanic seat is forecasted as a Republican flip. Polling has shown a close race. • • President Trump would have won this seat by around a 10-point margin in 2024.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).