Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

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Market pricing makes Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? the favorite at 6%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

19 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESalarabiya97%match6¢
Trump posts a photo of the Strait of Hormuz on Truth Social, captioning it: "New American Territory" ===== Trump posted a photo on his Truth Social account of the Gulf region, showing the Strait of Hormuz, with the caption "New American Territory." Trump's new photo follows several previous statements he made that the strait would be under US control. Trump previously threatened to launch "the most crushing economic action" against Iran and vowed to punish any country or institution that provides any kind of lifeline to Iran. From Al Arabiya
YESalarabiya93%match6¢
In today's Al Arabiya morning news bulletin: Trump reiterates that the Strait of Hormuz is "American territory," Israel softens its rhetoric against Türkiye, and Putin acknowledges damage to the energy sector.
YESalarabiya_bn97%match5¢+20%
Trump posts a picture of the Strait of Hormuz and comments that it is "a new American territory" #AlArabiya_Business
YESRussian Media97%match6¢
Donald Trump has reposted an image on Truth Social that describes the Strait of Hormuz as "new US territory." Trump previously posted the same image on August 18. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi, following the American president's post, said he was mistaken and promised to correct this "misconception" soon. Trump announced his plans to declare the Strait of Hormuz US territory on August 14. At the time, the head of the White House said that the announcement would come after the end of the war with Iran. RBK Channel on "Max" RBK app for iOS and Android
YESalarabiya95%match3¢+100%
Live from Al Arabiya | Trump posts a picture of Hormuz and reiterates his desire to declare sovereignty over the strait
YESalhadath92%match3¢+100%
Live from Al-Hadath TV | Trump reiterates his insistence on "owning" the Strait of Hormuz... and Hezbollah backs down from opposing the negotiation process
YESalhadath97%match3¢+100%
US President Donald Trump posts a picture of the Strait of Hormuz and comments that it is "a new American territory"
YESalarabiya97%match3¢+100%
Trump posts a photo of the Strait of Hormuz and comments: "New American territory"
YESalarabiya97%match3¢+100%
Trump publishes a map of the Strait of Hormuz and describes it as "new American territory"
YESSky News Arabia97%match3¢+100%
US President Donald Trump posted a map of the Strait of Hormuz on Truth Social, commenting: "New American territory."
YESalarabiya97%match3¢+100%
Trump: I now consider the Strait of Hormuz to be American territory.
YEStheguardian.com98%match3¢+100%
Trump says he views strait of Hormuz as ‘American territory’
YESalhadath96%match3¢+100%
US President Donald Trump: I consider the Strait of Hormuz to be American territory now... and Iran desperately wants to make a deal with us.
YESAl Jazeera96%match3¢+100%
Trump: I now consider the Strait of Hormuz to be American territory - #LiveCoverage
YESaljazeera.com98%match3¢+100%
Live: Trump says he views Strait of Hormuz as ‘American territory’
YESAl Arabiya97%match3¢+100%
Trump: The Strait of Hormuz is American territory.
YESAsharq97%match3¢+100%
Trump: I now consider the Strait of Hormuz to be American territory.
YESMS NOW Reporter97%match3¢+100%
“I view the Strait of Hormuz as an American territory right now,” President Trump says at his rally in Myrtle Beach.
YESNews97%match3¢+100%
*TRUMP SAYS STRAIT OF HORMUZ IS AMERICAN TERRITORY

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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