Tour De France 2026: Polka Dot Jersey

OpenOutcomes113as of

This hub tracks 113 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Richard Carapaz100%
Tadej Pogačar0%
Jonas Vingegaard0%
Paul Seixas0%
Remco Evenepoel0%
Florian Lipowitz0%
Juan Ayuso0%
Isaac del Toro0%
Tobias Halland Johannessen0%
Tom Pidcock0%
Cian Uijtdebroeks0%
Mattias Skjelmose0%
Antonio Tiberi0%
Derek Gee-West0%
Matteo Jorgenson0%
Thymen Arensman0%
Adam Yates0%
Jai Hindley0%
Lenny Martinez0%
Ben O'Connor0%
Kévin Vauquelin0%
Ben Healy0%
Luke Plapp0%
Lennert Van Eetvelt0%
Egan Bernal0%
Brandon McNulty0%
Sepp Kuss0%
Michael Storer0%
Matthew Riccitello0%
Ilan Van Wilder0%

All further outcomes (83 more):

Valentin Paret-Peintre · Warren Barguil · Cyclist A · Cyclist B · Cyclist C · Cyclist D · Cyclist E · Cyclist F · Cyclist G · Cyclist H · Cyclist I · Cyclist J · Cyclist K · Cyclist L · Cyclist M · Cyclist N · Cyclist O · Cyclist P · Cyclist Q · Cyclist R · Cyclist S · Cyclist T · Cyclist U · Cyclist V · Cyclist W · Cyclist X · Cyclist Y · Cyclist Z · Cyclist AA · Cyclist AB · Cyclist AC · Cyclist AD · Cyclist AE · Cyclist AF · Cyclist AG · Cyclist AH · Cyclist AI · Cyclist AJ · Cyclist AK · Cyclist AL · Cyclist AM · Cyclist AN · Cyclist AO · Cyclist AP · Cyclist AQ · Cyclist AR · Cyclist AS · Cyclist AT · Cyclist AU · Cyclist AV · Cyclist AW · Cyclist AX · Cyclist AY · Cyclist AZ · Cyclist BA · Cyclist BB · Cyclist BC · Cyclist BD · Cyclist BE · Cyclist BF · Cyclist BG · Cyclist BH · Cyclist BI · Cyclist BJ · Cyclist BK · Cyclist BL · Cyclist BM · Cyclist BN · Cyclist BO · Cyclist BP · Cyclist BQ · Cyclist BR · Cyclist BS · Cyclist BT · Cyclist BU · Cyclist BV · Cyclist BW · Cyclist BX · Cyclist BY · Cyclist BZ · Cyclist CA · Cyclist CB · Other

What moved the odds?

7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Tadej Pogačarafp.com92%match1¢-100%
ALERT: Tadej Pogacar wins record-equalling fifth Tour de France
Richard Carapazafp97%match99¢+1%
Tadej Pogacar all but sealed a record-equalling fifth Tour de France title on Saturday as Ecuadorian Richard Carapaz won the 20th stage on Alpe d'Huez. The 27-year-old Slovenian will need only to cross the finish line in Paris Sunday to win. •
Richard CarapazFrench Media98%match98¢+2%
Tour de France 2026 Richard Carapaz wins the queen stage, Paul Seixas will not finish on the general classification podium
Tadej Pogačarafp92%match13¢-100%
Tadej Pogacar stormed to victory in a record-breaking time on Alpe d'Huez amid a "crazy atmosphere" in Friday's 19th stage as he extended his overall lead in the Tour de France. • •
Richard CarapazVenezuela State-Backed TV97%match38¢+163%
Richard Carapaz conquista en solitario la primera etapa alpina del Tour de Francia 2026 • • El ciclista ecuatoriano del EF Education-EasyPost se impuso en la cima de Orcières-Merlette tras 185,2 km de alta montaña, con un ataque fulminante a 3,5 km de la meta que liquidó a sus rivales de fuga. • • ¿Está la 'Locomotora de El Carmelo' ante su mejor Tour? • •
Richard Carapazafp97%match36¢+178%
Ecuador's Richard Carapaz emerged from a six-man group to climb to victory on the Alpine 18th stage of the Tour de France on Thursday. •
Richard Carapazafp.com97%match33¢+203%
ALERT: Richard Carapaz wins Tour de France 18th stage

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Polka Dot Jersey for the 2026 Tour De France. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UCI rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.