Tour De France 2026: Polka Dot Jersey

OpenOutcomes113as of

This hub tracks 113 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Richard Carapaz100%
Paul Seixas0%
Lennert Van Eetvelt0%
Egan Bernal0%
Brandon McNulty0%
Sepp Kuss0%
Cyclist D0%
Cyclist P0%
Cyclist Z0%
Cyclist AC0%
Cyclist AE0%
Cyclist AJ0%
Cyclist AW0%
Cyclist BE0%
Cyclist BG0%
Cyclist BI0%
Cyclist BP0%
Cyclist BV0%
Cyclist BX0%
Jonas Vingegaard0%
Remco Evenepoel0%
Florian Lipowitz0%
Isaac del Toro0%
Antonio Tiberi0%
Adam Yates0%
Lenny Martinez0%
Cyclist AU0%
Cyclist AV0%
Cyclist BF0%
Cyclist BH0%

All further outcomes (83 more):

Cyclist BO · Cyclist BU · Juan Ayuso · Tobias Halland Johannessen · Tom Pidcock · Cian Uijtdebroeks · Thymen Arensman · Ben O'Connor · Ben Healy · Michael Storer · Cyclist A · Cyclist C · Cyclist H · Cyclist J · Cyclist K · Cyclist N · Cyclist AB · Cyclist AD · Cyclist AM · Cyclist AQ · Cyclist AY · Cyclist BA · Cyclist BC · Cyclist BS · Cyclist BW · Cyclist BY · Tadej Pogačar · Mattias Skjelmose · Jai Hindley · Kévin Vauquelin · Luke Plapp · Matthew Riccitello · Warren Barguil · Cyclist E · Cyclist G · Cyclist M · Cyclist T · Cyclist U · Cyclist Y · Cyclist AF · Cyclist AI · Cyclist AN · Cyclist AO · Derek Gee-West · Matteo Jorgenson · Valentin Paret-Peintre · Cyclist B · Cyclist F · Cyclist I · Cyclist R · Cyclist V · Cyclist W · Cyclist X · Cyclist AA · Cyclist AG · Ilan Van Wilder · Cyclist L · Cyclist O · Cyclist Q · Cyclist S · Cyclist AH · Cyclist AP · Cyclist AS · Cyclist BZ · Cyclist AK · Cyclist AL · Cyclist AT · Cyclist BB · Cyclist BD · Cyclist BL · Cyclist BM · Cyclist BN · Cyclist BR · Cyclist CB · Other · Cyclist AR · Cyclist AX · Cyclist AZ · Cyclist BJ · Cyclist BK · Cyclist BQ · Cyclist BT · Cyclist CA

What moved the odds?

5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Richard Carapazafp97%match99¢+1%
Tadej Pogacar all but sealed a record-equalling fifth Tour de France title on Saturday as Ecuadorian Richard Carapaz won the 20th stage on Alpe d'Huez. The 27-year-old Slovenian will need only to cross the finish line in Paris Sunday to win. •
Richard CarapazFrench Media98%match98¢+2%
Tour de France 2026 Richard Carapaz wins the queen stage, Paul Seixas will not finish on the general classification podium
Richard CarapazVenezuela State-Backed TV97%match38¢+163%
Richard Carapaz conquista en solitario la primera etapa alpina del Tour de Francia 2026 • • El ciclista ecuatoriano del EF Education-EasyPost se impuso en la cima de Orcières-Merlette tras 185,2 km de alta montaña, con un ataque fulminante a 3,5 km de la meta que liquidó a sus rivales de fuga. • • ¿Está la 'Locomotora de El Carmelo' ante su mejor Tour? • •
Richard Carapazafp97%match36¢+178%
Ecuador's Richard Carapaz emerged from a six-man group to climb to victory on the Alpine 18th stage of the Tour de France on Thursday. •
Richard Carapazafp.com97%match33¢+203%
ALERT: Richard Carapaz wins Tour de France 18th stage

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Polka Dot Jersey for the 2026 Tour De France. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UCI rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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