TN-04 Republican Primary Winner
Resolved8as of
This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Congressman Scott DesJarlais is a Fantastic Advocate for Tennessee’s 4th Congressional District! As a Member of the House Agriculture Committee, Scott is a strong and effective voice for American Agriculture, and our amazing Farmers and Ranchers. In Congress, he is working hard to Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Safeguard our Elections, Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Strengthen our Military/Veterans, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment. Scott DesJarlais has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election. Election Day for the Republican Primary is TODAY. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR SCOTT – HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! Find your Voting Location here:
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.