Tennessee Senate Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Bill Hagerty (R) the favorite at 96% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Congress members on AF1 with us to Clarksville, Tennessee for a campaign rally before midterms: Sen. Bill Hagerty, and Reps. Chuck Fleischmann, Andy Ogles, Diana Harshberger, David Kustoff. Among staff with us are Susie Wiles, Steven Cheung, Ross Worthington, Natalie Harp, Margo Martin, Reid Dagul, Trevor Kerr, Molly Medeiros. • Several Republicans are on the ballot in Tennessee, where the president last visited the two weeks ago, including two US senators: Hagerty is up for reelection, and Marsha Blackburn's seeking the governor's office. • Trump's trip to Tuscaloosa today for the Alabama v Georgia game was canceled because of bad weather from Hurricane Isaias.
Despite Republicans holding their seat in Tennessee’s race this week, our congressional-forecasting model suggests that Democrats will win the midterms by about six percentage points next year
Despite Republicans holding their seat in Tennessee’s race this week, our congressional-forecasting model suggests that Democrats will win the midterms by about six percentage points next year
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.