Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?

ResolvedOutcomes7as of

This hub tracks 7 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

<105100%

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

130+alarabiya_bn92%match100¢
The center-left alliance gains three seats in the Swedish parliamentary elections. #Arabic_Business
115-119iranintlbrk98%match100¢
According to the initial vote count for the Swedish parliamentary elections, the Social Democrats will remain the strongest party in parliament, despite a decline in votes compared to the 2022 elections, but they will likely need a three-party coalition to form a government.
125-129iranintlbrk98%match100¢
According to the initial vote count for the Swedish parliamentary elections, the Social Democrats will remain the strongest party in parliament, despite a decline in votes compared to the 2022 elections, but they will likely need a three-party coalition to form a government.
130+iranintlbrk98%match100¢
According to the initial vote count for the Swedish parliamentary elections, the Social Democrats will remain the strongest party in parliament, despite a decline in votes compared to the 2022 elections, but they will likely need a three-party coalition to form a government.

What is this event about?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).